Andrew Fenty vs Masamichi ImamuraCary Qualifying Final

Cary · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
#401ATP
1199ELO
1183Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
#422ATP
1328ELO
1297Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWLWWLLW
Fenty A.
6-4 6-1
Imamura M.
Fenty A.
662
Imamura M.
410

Andrew Fenty won the final of the Cary hard-court tournament, defeating Masamichi Imamura 6-4, 6-1. Fenty served effectively, hitting six aces and winning 93% of his first-serve points, while converting 38% of break points to secure three service breaks. Imamura did not convert any break points and was limited to 54% on his first-serve points.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
69%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.7
2.1
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:50 UTC
Fenty A.17%
Imamura M.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Imamura M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1183
Surface ELO
6.4+114 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1199
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.46 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.37 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
66
86

Fenty A.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 67 games (7d) · Imamura M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 88%

Draw