Andrew Fenty vs Masamichi Imamura — Cary Qualifying Final

Cary · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Final
USA4
Andrew Fenty
#400ATP
1199ELO
1183Hard ELO
26 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWLWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 June 2026 ·
hard
STADIUM · 1st on
JPN11
Masamichi Imamura
#417ATP
1328ELO
1297Hard ELO
27 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWWWWLWWL
Fenty A.
6-4 6-1
Imamura M.
Fenty A.
662
Imamura M.
410

Andrew Fenty defeated Masamichi Imamura 6-4 6-1 in the Cary qualifying final on hard.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Fenty A.serving75% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Imamura M.

Imamura M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Fenty A.

Serve advantage — Imamura M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Fenty A.Imamura M.
1st serve in·Even
68%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (14 vs 27). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC
Fenty A.17%
Imamura M.83%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Imamura M. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Fenty A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Imamura M.
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1183
Surface ELO
6.4+114 Hard Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1199
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1328
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
6.16 of last 10 on hard
Surface form
7.07 of last 10 on hard
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Fenty A.Imamura M.
Freshness·Even
88
88

Fenty A.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d) · Imamura M.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 88%