Sandro Kopp vs Dali BlanchPlovdiv Quarter-final

Plovdiv · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#326ATP
1339ELO
1340Clay ELO
26 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLWLLLW
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
clay
#289ATP
1537ELO
1530Clay ELO
23 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWWLWWWL
Kopp S.
vs
Blanch D.

Sandro Kopp faces Dali Blanch in the Plovdiv quarter-final on clay. Dali Blanch holds the paper edge — ranked #289, a roughly 190-point clay Elo advantage.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC
Kopp S.15%
Blanch D.85%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Blanch D. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.6
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.6Clay Elo 1340
Surface ELO
7.4+189 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1339
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1537
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
H2H
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
5.65 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.88 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Form trajectory

Kopp S.Rising
Blanch D.Stable

Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About

21 vs 33 matches

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
70%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
61%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
37%
44%
Break points saved·Slight edge
61%
56%
Aces / match·Even
3.2
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.7
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 33). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Serve vs return

This season
Kopp S.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Blanch D.

Blanch D.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Kopp S.

Serve advantage — Blanch D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
5
17
Break points saved·Dominant
64
21
Break points won·Clear edge
16
37
Deciding sets·Dominant
4
29
Tiebreaks·Dominant
7
71

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
78
84

Kopp S.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 29 games (7d) · Blanch D.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather forecast
27°CClear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 51%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.