Tomasz Berkieta vs Tommaso Compagnucci — Plovdiv Round of 16
Berkieta T.
Tomasz Berkieta faces Tommaso Compagnucci in the Plovdiv round of 16 on clay. Tommaso Compagnucci is the paper favourite — a roughly 220-point clay Elo advantage — but Tomasz Berkieta rides a 3-match win streak.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Compagnucci T. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Tomasz Berkieta comes in with 1 days of rest and 54 games in 14d, vs Tommaso Compagnucci's 1 and 83.
- Last match: Tomasz Berkieta dropped just 3 games past Geoffrey Blancaneaux.
- Surface form: Tomasz Berkieta 5 of 10, Tommaso Compagnucci 7 of 10 on clay recently — Tommaso Compagnucci the sharper of late.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (6 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBerkieta T.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d) · Compagnucci T.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.