Geoffrey Blancaneaux vs Tomasz Berkieta — Plovdiv
Blancaneaux G.
Geoffrey Blancaneaux faces Tomasz Berkieta in the Plovdiv match on clay. Geoffrey Blancaneaux holds the paper edge — ranked #388, a roughly 310-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 16:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Blancaneaux G. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Geoffrey Blancaneaux 26 games in 14 days, Tomasz Berkieta 39.
- Last match: Tomasz Berkieta dropped just 5 games past Edison Ambarzumjan.
- Surface form: Both 4 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 6). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadBlancaneaux G.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 26 games (7d) · Berkieta T.: 1 day rest · 2 matches, 39 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.