Eero Vasa vs Manas DhamnePlovdiv Round of 32

Plovdiv · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#480ATP
1364ELO
1345Clay ELO
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 23 June 2026 ·
clay
#362ATP
1399ELO
1354Clay ELO
18 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLLWWLL
Vasa E.
4-6 7-5 6-4
Dhamne M.
Vasa E.
4762
Dhamne M.
6541

Eero Vasa defeated Manas Dhamne in the Round of 32 of the Plovdiv clay tournament. The match ended with a score of 4-6, 7-5, 6-4 in favor of Vasa. Vasa converted 33% of break points and won 3 service breaks, while Dhamne converted 50% of break points and won 4 service breaks.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Clear edge
64%
49%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.9
1.3
Double faults / match·Even
3.2
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:50 UTC
Vasa E.20%
Dhamne M.80%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Dhamne M. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+24 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1469
4.9Overall Elo 1470
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1477
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.14 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.44 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
9.0Last match 1h20m
Prev. match
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
99
65

Vasa E.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Dhamne M.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 75 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 59%

Draw