Sandro Kopp vs Alexander Vasilev — Plovdiv Round of 16
Kopp S.
Sandro Kopp faces Alexander Vasilev in the Plovdiv round of 16 on clay. Sandro Kopp is the paper favourite — ranked #326 — but Alexander Vasilev arrives in form, winning 6 of their last 10 on clay to Sandro Kopp's 4.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 19:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Slight edge · Vasilev A. narrowly ahead
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Surface form: Sandro Kopp 4 of 10, Alexander Vasilev 6 of 10 on clay recently — Alexander Vasilev the sharper of late.
- Fatigue load: Sandro Kopp carries the heavier recent load — 1 three-setter to 0 in the past fortnight.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 4). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Freshness
Recent loadVasilev A.: 13 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About
When it starts
3rd on COURT 1 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead
- 2Martineau M. v Nesterov P.
- 3Kopp S. v Vasilev A.This match
- 4Michalski D. v Sels J.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.