Daniel Michalski vs Inaki Montes De La TorrePlovdiv Quarter-final

Plovdiv · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#330ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Thursday, 25 June 2026 ·
clay
#275ATP
1579ELO
1535Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWWWWW
Michalski D.
5-7 2-6
Montes De La Torre I.
Michalski D.
520
Montes De La Torre I.
762

Inaki Montes De La Torre defeated Daniel Michalski in the quarterfinals of the Plovdiv tournament on clay, winning 7-5, 6-2. Montes De La Torre converted 62% of his break points and secured five service breaks, compared to Michalski's two. Both players served one ace and Montes De La Torre committed three double faults to Michalski's zero.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
57%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
66%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Slight edge
38%
46%
Break points saved·Even
52%
55%
Aces / match·Even
2.4
2.1
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 16). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
27
35
Break points saved·Dominant
24
60
Break points won·Dominant
26
64
Deciding sets·Dominant
64
24
Tiebreaks·
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:50 UTC
Michalski D.35%
Montes De La Torre I.65%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Montes De La Torre I. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
4.1Clay Elo 1482
Surface ELO
5.9+73 Clay Elo edge
3.7Overall Elo 1495
ELO gap
6.3Overall Elo 1596
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.96 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.89 of last 10 on clay
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Michalski D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
30°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 40%

Draw