Daniel Michalski vs Jelle SelsPlovdiv Round of 16

Plovdiv · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#330ATP
1435ELO
1386Clay ELO
26 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLWLWWWLLL
1 — 0
Sets
Retired
Wednesday, 24 June 2026 ·
clay
#533ATP
1313ELO
1283Clay ELO
31 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWLLLWL
Michalski D.
6-0 1-0
Sels J.
Michalski D.
611
Sels J.
000

Daniel Michalski advanced to the quarterfinals of the Plovdiv tournament, defeating Jelle Sels in the Round of 16. Sels retired during the match, trailing 6-0, 1-0. Michalski had secured three service breaks to Sels' zero.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
38%
Break points saved·Even
52%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.4
3.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.8
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
27
15
Break points saved·Dominant
24
61
Break points won·Clear edge
26
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
64
40
Tiebreaks·Dominant
62
11

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:50 UTC
Michalski D.76%
Sels J.24%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Michalski D. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+23 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Clay Elo 1461
5.4Overall Elo 1498
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1463
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.46 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.84 of last 10 on clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
87

Michalski D.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 28 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 56%

Draw