Alexander Zverev vs Raphael Collignon — Halle Quarter-final
Zverev A.
Alexander Zverev faces Raphael Collignon in the Halle quarter-final on grass. Alexander Zverev holds the paper edge — ranked #3, defending last year's semi-final, a roughly 260-point grass Elo advantage.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 18:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Strong favourite · Zverev A. heavily favoured
Calibrated model · 65% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Key context
- Freshness: Workload contrast: Alexander Zverev 112 games in 14 days, Raphael Collignon 54.
- Under pressure: Alexander Zverev has the edge on pressure points (Clutch Rating 94 vs Raphael Collignon's 73).
- Last match: Raphael Collignon dropped the opening set before beating Mattia Bellucci 4–6 6–4 6–3.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
Form trajectory
Direction of recent form — results vs Elo expectation blended with serve/return vs each player's baseline, over the last few months. About
Statistics
This seasonAverages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (34 vs 29). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
Serve vs return
This seasonEach player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Clutch
Under pressurePerformance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About
Freshness
Recent loadZverev A.: 2 days rest · 1 match, 27 games (7d) · Collignon R.: 2 days rest · 3 matches, 54 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.