Raphael Collignon vs Flavio CobolliMiami Masters Round of 64

Miami Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#43ATP
1894ELO
1837Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#10ATP
1896ELO
1810Hard ELO
$3.1MYTD
$8.4MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Collignon R.
7-5 6-3
Cobolli F.
Collignon R.
762
Cobolli F.
530

Raphael Collignon defeated Flavio Cobolli 7-5 6-3 in the Miami Masters round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Flavio Cobolli came in ranked #10, defending last year's round of 128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Collignon R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Cobolli F.

Cobolli F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Collignon R.

Serve advantage — Collignon R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Collignon R.Cobolli F.
39
Serve
20
32
Return
35

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
55%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
60%
62%
Aces / match·Even
5.9
6.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
3.3
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
73
76
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
96
Break points won·Clear edge
55
35
Deciding sets·Clear edge
80
98
Tiebreaks·Even
92
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+27 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1810
5.0Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1896
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
8.0
Fatigue & Travel
5.9
Minutes 14d
8.2
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
56

Collignon R.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Cobolli F.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 111 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
21°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 81%