Alexander Zverev vs Alexei PopyrinCanada Masters Quarter-final

Canada Masters · ATP · Quarter-final
#3ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
#103ATP
1741ELO
1681Hard ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Zverev A.
6-7 6-4 6-3
Popyrin A.
Zverev A.
68662
Popyrin A.
710431

Alexander Zverev defeated Alexei Popyrin 6-7 6-4 6-3 in the Canada Masters quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Zverev came in ranked #3, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Alexander Zverev extended the head-to-head to 4–0.

Key context

Head to head

30
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR16clayAlexander Zverev7-5 6-3
2019-02-25AcapulcoR32hardAlexander Zverev6-3 6-3
2018-10-22BaselR16hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Zverev A.serving94% hold

wins 74% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zverev A.Popyrin A.
71
Serve
40
42
Return
11

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
72%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
49%
Service points won·Even
69%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
60%
65%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.8
9.9
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (110 vs 54). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
94
59
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
90
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
9.5+361 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.5Hard Elo 1681
9.5Overall Elo 2100
ELO gap
0.5Overall Elo 1741
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
2.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
0.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
7.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
45
97

Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 134 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%