Joao Fonseca vs Raphael CollignonIndian Wells Masters Round of 128

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 128
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
#43ATP
1894ELO
1837Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
Fonseca J.
7-6 6-4
Collignon R.
Fonseca J.
7762
Collignon R.
6240

Joao Fonseca defeated Raphael Collignon 7-6 6-4 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 128 on hard. The result followed the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Joao Fonseca extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-14Davis Cup Finals RR: BEL vs BRARRhardJoao Fonseca6-3 6-7(2) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Fonseca J.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Collignon R.

Collignon R.serving92% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Fonseca J.Collignon R.
47
Serve
39
38
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
51%
Service points won·Even
67%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Even
5.2
5.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
3.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (17 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
76
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
97
90
Break points won·Clear edge
43
55
Deciding sets·Slight edge
89
80
Tiebreaks·Even
96
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.0+77 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1837
5.5Overall Elo 1928
ELO gap
4.5Overall Elo 1894
10.0
H2H
0.0
6.6
Surface form
10.0
Win streak
10.012-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
97

Fonseca J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Collignon R.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%