Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava — Bratislava Round of 16

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

JPN

Taro Daniel

#293ATP

1495ELO

1454Clay ELO

33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 10:00

clay

USA

Emilio Nava

#87ATP

1699ELO

1667Clay ELO

$401kYTD

$1.9MCAREER

24 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Taro Daniel faces Emilio Nava in the Bratislava round of 16 on clay. Emilio Nava holds the paper edge — ranked #87, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched. They have met 4 times, the series level at 2–2, Emilio Nava ahead 1–0 on clay.

Key context

Last match: Taro Daniel dropped just 6 games past Timofey Skatov.
Head-to-head: The head-to-head is level 2–2, 0–1 on clay. Last met at Rome Masters 2023.
Fatigue load: Emilio Nava carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.
Win streak: Both arrive in form — Taro Daniel on a 3-match run, Emilio Nava on 5.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC

Daniel T.8%

Nava E.92%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Nava E. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Daniel T.

5.1

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Nava E.

6.9

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Form & Matchup

2.3Clay Elo 1454

Surface ELO

7.7+212 Clay Elo edge

2.5Overall Elo 1495

ELO gap

7.5Overall Elo 1699

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

8.28 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

8.58 of last 10 on clay

7.03-match win streak

Win streak

9.05-match win streak

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

Opponent rise

5.0Opponent hot: 8 of last 10

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Head to head

2–2

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2023-05-08	Rome Masters	Q1	clay	Emilio Nava	0-6 6-2 6-4
2022-09-19	San Diego	R32	hard	Taro Daniel	6-4 6-3
2022-08-22	Winston-Salem	Q2	hard	Emilio Nava	6-4 3-6 7-5
2022-03-07	Indian Wells Masters	Q1	hard	Taro Daniel	7-5 7-5

Statistics

Recent form

Daniel T.Nava E.

63%1st serve in+2%65%

67%1st serve points won+4%71%

52%2nd serve points won+2%50%

61%Service points won+3%64%

37%Return points won37%

63%Break points saved+4%67%

4.7Aces / match+2.47.1

1.3Double faults / match+12.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.