Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva vs Alexander Donski — Bratislava Round of 32

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
BRA
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
#205ATP
1480ELO
1471Clay ELO
$76kYTD
$371kCAREER
26 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWLLWLLWWL
—
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 8 · 2nd on
BULSE
Alexander Donski
#538ATP
1368ELO
1352Clay ELO
27 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LWWWWWWLWL

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva faces Alexander Donski in the Bratislava round of 32 on clay. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva holds the paper edge — ranked #205, a roughly 120-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

  • Fatigue load: Alexander Donski carries the heavier recent load — 5 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC
Reis Da Silva J.73%
Donski A.27%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Reis Da Silva J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Reis Da Silva J.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Donski A.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.5+120 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.5Clay Elo 1352
6.4Overall Elo 1480
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1368
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.55 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.55 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.05 three-setters in 14 days
Surface transition
6.0Hard → Clay
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

When it starts

2nd on COURT 8 · not before Followed By · 1 match still to finish ahead

  1. 1Brunclik P. v Martin A.
  2. 2Reis Da Silva J. v Donski A.This match

Conditions

Weather forecast
18°COvercast
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 75%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Reis Da Silva J.Donski A.
66%1st serve in+11%55%
65%1st serve points won+8%73%
51%2nd serve points won+2%49%
61%Service points won+1%62%
40%Return points won+4%36%
59%Break points saved+4%63%
2.6Aces / match+6.28.8
1.5Double faults / match+2.74.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw