Taro Daniel vs Timofey Skatov — Bratislava Round of 32

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

JPNQ

Taro Daniel

#293ATP

1495ELO

1454Clay ELO

33 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WWLWWWWLWW

2 — 0

Sets

Tuesday, 9 June 2026 · 14:50

clay

COURT 8 · 3rd on

KAZ

Timofey Skatov

#175ATP

1535ELO

1524Clay ELO

$62kYTD

$1.0MCAREER

25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWLWLLLW

Taro Daniel won five games in a row to see off Timofey Skatov 6-3 6-3 in the Bratislava round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 7: A 13-point game with four deuces went Timofey Skatov's way.
Set 2, game 2: Taro Daniel broke serve.
Pressure points: Taro Daniel converted 3 of 6 break points; Timofey Skatov converted 0 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:21 UTC

Daniel T.35%

Skatov T.65%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Skatov T. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Daniel T.

5.5

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Back-to-back day (−0.5)

Skatov T.

6.7

Slight advantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

4.1Clay Elo 1454

Surface ELO

5.9+70 Clay Elo edge

4.5Overall Elo 1495

ELO gap

5.5Overall Elo 1535

3.0Trails 0–1 on clay

H2H

7.0Leads 1–0 on clay

8.08 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

5.45 of last 10 on clay

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

0.03 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Daniel T.

662

Skatov T.

330

Conditions

Weather

29°COvercast

Wind 7 km/hHumidity 40%

Head to head

0–1

Date	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2024-07-15	Bastad	R32	clay	Timofey Skatov	6-7(7) 6-2 7-6(4)

Statistics

Recent form

Daniel T.Skatov T.

63%1st serve in+3%60%

67%1st serve points won+2%69%

52%2nd serve points won+1%51%

61%Service points won+1%62%

37%Return points won+2%39%

63%Break points saved+4%59%

4.7Aces / match+1.23.5

1.3Double faults / match+1.93.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.