Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek BartonBratislava Round of 16

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#97ATP
1698ELO
1641Clay ELO
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WLWLLLWWLL
Sets
Wednesday, 10 June 2026 ·
clay
#249ATP
1480ELO
1436Clay ELO
22 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWWLWWWLWW

Alexander Shevchenko faces Hynek Barton in the Bratislava round of 16 on clay. Alexander Shevchenko is the paper favourite — ranked #97, a roughly 210-point clay Elo advantage — but Hynek Barton arrives in form, winning 8 of their last 10 on clay to Alexander Shevchenko's 4.

Key context

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 18:21 UTC
Shevchenko A.72%
Barton H.28%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Shevchenko A. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
7.6+205 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.4Clay Elo 1436
7.7Overall Elo 1698
ELO gap
2.3Overall Elo 1480
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
4.44 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
8.18 of last 10 on clay
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
0.03 three-setters in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast
17°CRain
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 81%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
62%1st serve in+3%59%
68%1st serve points won+4%72%
52%2nd serve points won52%
62%Service points won+2%64%
36%Return points won+3%39%
62%Break points saved+2%64%
5.8Aces / match+0.45.4
1.1Double faults / match+1.82.9

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.