Norbert Gombos vs Jan Choinski — Bratislava Round of 32

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

SVKWC

Norbert Gombos

#365ATP

1485ELO

1475Clay ELO

35 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLWLLWLLW

0 — 2

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 16:50

clay

CENTER COURT · 3rd on

GBR

Jan Choinski

#105ATP

1650ELO

1638Clay ELO

$153kYTD

$1.2MCAREER

29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWWWWWW

Jan Choinski cruised past Norbert Gombos, conceding only seven games, in the Bratislava round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 6: Jan Choinski broke serve.
Set 2, game 3: Jan Choinski broke serve.
Pressure points: Norbert Gombos converted 1 of 1 break points; Jan Choinski converted 3 of 4 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 14:20 UTC

Gombos N.24%

Choinski J.76%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Choinski J. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Gombos N.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Choinski J.

7.8

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

3.0Clay Elo 1475

Surface ELO

7.0+163 Clay Elo edge

2.9Overall Elo 1485

ELO gap

7.1Overall Elo 1650

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

3.94 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

8.59 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

7.0Home country

Country comfort

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Gombos N.

340

Choinski J.

662