Federico Cina vs Marko Topo — Bratislava Round of 32

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Round of 32

ITA

Federico Cina

#185ATP

1532ELO

1472Clay ELO

19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWWWWLWLWW

2 — 0

Sets

Monday, 8 June 2026 · 15:40

clay

COURT 8 · 4th on

GERALT

Marko Topo

#331ATP

1487ELO

1428Clay ELO

22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

LWLLLLLLLL

Federico Cina dropped just five games in a straight-sets win over Marko Topo in the Bratislava round of 32.

Key context

Set 1, game 2: Federico Cina broke serve.
Set 2, game 1: Federico Cina broke serve.
Pressure points: Federico Cina converted 3 of 5 break points; Marko Topo converted 0 of 2 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 13:20 UTC

Cina F.65%

Topo M.35%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Cina F. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Cina F.

7.1

Strong advantageUmpiry Score

Topo M.

5.4

Clear underdogUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.5+44 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.5Clay Elo 1428

5.6Overall Elo 1532

ELO gap

4.4Overall Elo 1486

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.68 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

1.41 of last 10 on clay

0.0

Win streak

0.0

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Cina F.

662

Topo M.

320