Federico Cina vs Jan Choinski — Bratislava Round of 16

Bratislava · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

ITA

Federico Cina

#185ATP

1532ELO

1472Clay ELO

19 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

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2 — 0

Sets

Wednesday, 10 June 2026 · 10:40

clay

CENTER COURT · 1st on

GBR

Jan Choinski

#105ATP

1650ELO

1638Clay ELO

$153kYTD

$1.2MCAREER

30 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed

Last 10 · pre-match

WLWWWWWWWW

Federico Cina won five games in a row to see off Jan Choinski 6-1 7-5 in the Bratislava round of 16.

Key context

Set 1, game 3: A 13-point game with four deuces went Federico Cina's way.
Set 2, game 11: Federico Cina broke serve.
Pressure points: Federico Cina converted 3 of 5 break points; Jan Choinski converted 0 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:21 UTC

Cina F.37%

Choinski J.63%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Slight edge · Choinski J. narrowly ahead

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Cina F.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Choinski J.

7.7

Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

2.9Clay Elo 1472

Surface ELO

7.1+166 Clay Elo edge

3.5Overall Elo 1532

ELO gap

6.5Overall Elo 1650

5.0No prior meetings

H2H

5.0No prior meetings

7.88 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

8.69 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

3-set count

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Cina F.

672

Choinski J.

150

Conditions

Weather

17°COvercast

Wind 20 km/hHumidity 80%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Cina F.Choinski J.

63%1st serve in+2%65%

71%1st serve points won+3%68%

47%2nd serve points won+3%50%

62%Service points won62%

39%Return points won+1%38%

67%Break points saved+9%58%

3.4Aces / match+1.14.5

2.5Double faults / match+0.52

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.