Miguel Damas vs Vilius Gaubas — Lyon Round of 32

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
ESP
Miguel Damas
#271ATP
1444ELO
1412Clay ELO
26 yrs · 208 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
Court 3 · 3rd on
LTU
Vilius Gaubas
#130ATP
1627ELO
1578Clay ELO
$170kYTD
$653kCAREER
21 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWLWLWL

Miguel Damas reeled off eight straight games on the way to a 6-4 6-0 win over Vilius Gaubas in the Lyon round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 2: Miguel Damas broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Miguel Damas converted 5 of 7 break points; Vilius Gaubas converted 1 of 1 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 11:21 UTC
Damas M.21%
Gaubas V.79%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Clear favourite · Gaubas V. clearly ahead, but no certainty

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Damas M.
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Gaubas V.
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.9Clay Elo 1412
Surface ELO
7.1+166 Clay Elo edge
2.7Overall Elo 1444
ELO gap
7.3Overall Elo 1627
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
1.32 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
3.74 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 7
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Damas M.
662
Gaubas V.
400

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Damas M.Gaubas V.
61%1st serve in+4%65%
59%1st serve points won+7%66%
48%2nd serve points won+1%49%
55%Service points won+5%60%
45%Return points won+7%38%
54%Break points saved+9%63%
1.1Aces / match+2.63.7
3.2Double faults / match+0.72.5

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw