Tristan Boyer vs Matteo Martineau — Lyon Round of 16
Tristan Boyer faces Matteo Martineau in the Lyon round of 16 on clay. Tristan Boyer is the paper favourite — ranked #198, a roughly 200-point clay Elo advantage — but Matteo Martineau rides a 3-match win streak.
Key context
- Last match: Matteo Martineau dropped the opening set before beating Mickael Kaouk 6–7 6–4 6–2.
- Last match: Tristan Boyer dropped just 5 games past Raphael Perot.
- Fatigue load: Matteo Martineau carries the heavier recent load — 4 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Tristan Boyer 8 of 10, Matteo Martineau 4 of 10 on clay recently — Tristan Boyer the sharper of late.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Boyer T. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
When it starts
3rd on COURT SOPRA STERIA · not before Not Before 13:00 · 2 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Moro Canas A. v Coppejans K.
- 2Faurel T. v Bax F.
- 3Boyer T. v Martineau M.This match
- 4Sanchez Izquierdo N. v Van Assche L.
- 5Trungelliti M. v Galan D.
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent formAverages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.