David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Round of 16

ESP

David Jorda Sanchis

#258ATP

1453ELO

1470Clay ELO

31 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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Sets

Thursday, 11 June 2026 · 10:00

clay

ESP

Miguel Damas

#271ATP

1444ELO

1412Clay ELO

26 yrs · 208 cm · Right-handed

Last 10

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David Jorda Sanchis faces Miguel Damas in the Lyon round of 16 on clay. David Jorda Sanchis holds the paper edge — ranked #258, a roughly 60-point clay Elo advantage.

Key context

Last match: Miguel Damas handed Vilius Gaubas a second-set bagel in a 6–4 6–0 win.
Surface form: David Jorda Sanchis 7 of 10, Miguel Damas 2 of 10 on clay recently — David Jorda Sanchis the sharper of late.
Fatigue load: David Jorda Sanchis carries the heavier recent load — 2 three-setters to 1 in the past fortnight.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 02:21 UTC

Jorda Sanchis D.58%

Damas M.42%

Toss-up
50–58%

Slight edge
58–67%

Clear favourite
67–80%

Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match

Jorda Sanchis D.

6.5

Marginal edgeUmpiry Score

Damas M.

5.6

Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score

Form & Matchup

5.7+58 Clay Elo edge

Surface ELO

4.3Clay Elo 1412

5.1Overall Elo 1453

ELO gap

4.9Overall Elo 1444

5.0First meeting on clay

H2H

5.0First meeting on clay

6.57 of last 10 on clay

Surface form

2.22 of last 10 on clay

Fatigue & Travel

4.02 three-setters in 14 days

3-set count

7.01 three-setter in 14 days

Context

5.0Didn't play here last year

Defending pts

5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Conditions

Weather forecast

18°CMainly clear

Wind 9 km/hHumidity 48%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form

Jorda Sanchis D.Damas M.

55%1st serve in+6%61%

73%1st serve points won+14%59%

49%2nd serve points won+1%48%

62%Service points won+7%55%

42%Return points won+3%45%

61%Break points saved+7%54%

4Aces / match+2.91.1

2.3Double faults / match+0.93.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas — Lyon Round of 16