Luka Pavlovic vs Daniel Elahi Galan — Lyon Round of 32

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
FRA
Luka Pavlovic
#207ATP
1481ELO
1442Clay ELO
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLLLLL
0 — 2
Sets
Monday, 8 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 12 · 3rd on
COL
Daniel Elahi Galan
#347ATP
1522ELO
1483Clay ELO
29 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLLWWW

Daniel Elahi Galan broke serve in the second set to take control and defeat Luka Pavlovic 7-6 6-2 in the Lyon round of 32.

Key context

  • Pressure points: Luka Pavlovic converted 1 of 3 break points; Daniel Elahi Galan converted 3 of 7 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 12:20 UTC
Pavlovic L.46%
Galan D.54%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Pavlovic L.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
Galan D.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.5Clay Elo 1442
Surface ELO
5.5+40 Clay Elo edge
4.5Overall Elo 1481
ELO gap
5.5Overall Elo 1522
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
3.43 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.65 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
7.6Home country · 3/5 here
Country comfort
5.1Won 52% in FRA (25)
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Pavlovic L.
6320
Galan D.
7762

Conditions

Weather
27°CRain
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 46%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Pavlovic L.Galan D.
54%1st serve in+11%65%
78%1st serve points won+13%65%
45%2nd serve points won+5%50%
63%Service points won+3%60%
34%Return points won+5%39%
63%Break points saved+8%55%
10.8Aces / match+7.73.1
4.7Double faults / match+2.72

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw