Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Elahi Galan — Lyon Round of 16
Marco Trungelliti faces Daniel Elahi Galan in the Lyon round of 16 on clay. Marco Trungelliti holds the paper edge — ranked #80, a roughly 160-point clay Elo advantage. Recent clay form is closely matched.
Key context
- Last match: Marco Trungelliti dropped the opening set before beating Pavel Kotov 6–7 6–4 6–2.
- Fatigue load: Marco Trungelliti carries the heavier recent load — 3 three-setters to 0 in the past fortnight.
- Surface form: Both 5 of 10 on clay recently — court-specific quality nearly identical despite the ranking gap.
Win Probability
Pre-match · updated 06:20 UTC50–58%
58–67%
67–80%
80%+
Clear favourite · Trungelliti M. clearly ahead, but no certainty
Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.
Umpiry Score
Pre-matchThe Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.
When it starts
5th on COURT SOPRA STERIA · not before Not Before 17:45 · 4 matches still to finish ahead
- 1Moro Canas A. v Coppejans K.
- 2Faurel T. v Bax F.
- 3Boyer T. v Martineau M.
- 4Sanchez Izquierdo N. v Van Assche L.
- 5Trungelliti M. v Galan D.This match
Conditions
Head to head
No previous meetings on record.
Statistics
Recent formAverages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.