Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel KotovLyon Round of 32

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#80ATP
1647ELO
1641Clay ELO
$235kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
36 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
Court 1 · 2nd on
#248ATP
1652ELO
1585Clay ELO
27 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLWWWWW

Around the match

  • I feel good vibes coming back here. When I win, I feel good. When I don't win, it's different. But yes, I feel good vibes returning to Lyon.

    Trungelliti M.opensoprasteriadelyon.com· 2026-06-09
  • Yes, without a doubt. Both mentally and physically. I'm playing the best tennis of my career.

    Trungelliti M.opensoprasteriadelyon.com· 2026-06-09

Quotes belong to their sources, linked above.

Marco Trungelliti fought back from a set down to beat Pavel Kotov 6-7 6-4 6-2 in the Lyon round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 3, game 1: Marco Trungelliti broke serve.
  • Set 3, game 3: A 15-point game with five deuces went Marco Trungelliti's way.
  • Pressure points: Marco Trungelliti converted 5 of 13 break points; Pavel Kotov converted 2 of 10 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC
Trungelliti M.52%
Kotov P.48%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.7+56 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.3Clay Elo 1585
4.9Overall Elo 1646
ELO gap
5.1Overall Elo 1652
5.0First meeting on clay
H2H
5.0First meeting on clay
5.25 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.21 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
5.5Won 58% in FRA (36)
Country comfort
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Trungelliti M.
67662
Kotov P.
79421

Conditions

Weather
20°COvercast
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 55%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
63%1st serve in+1%64%
74%1st serve points won+4%78%
51%2nd serve points won+2%53%
65%Service points won+4%69%
38%Return points won38%
66%Break points saved+5%61%
3.7Aces / match+3.37
3Double faults / match+1.31.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.