Calvin Hemery vs Alejandro Moro CanasLyon Round of 32

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#276ATP
1512ELO
1513Clay ELO
31 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWWWWW
1 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 12 · 2nd on
#236ATP
1564ELO
1515Clay ELO
25 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWLLWW

Alejandro Moro Canas edged the deciding set 7-6 to get past Calvin Hemery in the Lyon round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 3, game 7: Alejandro Moro Canas broke serve.
  • Comeback: Alejandro Moro Canas recovered from a set deficit to win.
  • Pressure points: Calvin Hemery converted 1 of 5 break points; Alejandro Moro Canas converted 2 of 5 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 10:21 UTC
Hemery C.43%
Moro Canas A.57%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Toss-up · Too close to call

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.0Clay Elo 1513
Surface ELO
5.0+2 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1512
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1564
7.8Leads 2–0 on clay
H2H
2.2Trails 0–2 on clay
7.98 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
4.95 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.8Home country · 7/23 here
Country comfort
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Hemery C.
773651
Moro Canas A.
656772

Conditions

Weather
19°COvercast
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 58%

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-03-31MarrakechQ1clayCalvin Hemery6-1 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
63%1st serve in+4%67%
75%1st serve points won+11%64%
51%2nd serve points won51%
66%Service points won+6%60%
37%Return points won+6%43%
62%Break points saved+5%57%
6.3Aces / match+4.12.2
3.4Double faults / match+1.32.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.