Robin Bertrand vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoLyon Round of 32

Lyon · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
#286ATP
1393ELO
1300Clay ELO
23 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLLLLLWW
0 — 2
Sets
Tuesday, 9 June 2026 ·
clay
COURT 12 · 1st on
#226ATP
1521ELO
1499Clay ELO
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLWWW

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo won five games in a row to see off Robin Bertrand 6-3 6-2 in the Lyon round of 32.

Key context

  • Set 1, game 3: A 15-point game with five deuces went Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo's way.
  • Set 1, game 8: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo broke serve.
  • Pressure points: Robin Bertrand converted 1 of 6 break points; Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo converted 4 of 8 break points.

Win Probability

Pre-match · updated 08:20 UTC
Bertrand R.12%
Sanchez Izquierdo N.88%
Toss-up
50–58%
Slight edge
58–67%
Clear favourite
67–80%
Strong favourite
80%+

Strong favourite · Sanchez Izquierdo N. heavily favoured

Calibrated model · 63% favourite accuracy (2025–26, out-of-sample). Probability is a statistical estimate, not a certainty. How it works.

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.5Clay Elo 1300
Surface ELO
7.5+199 Clay Elo edge
3.4Overall Elo 1393
ELO gap
6.6Overall Elo 1520
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
0.91 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
6.77 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
3-set count
4.02 three-setters in 14 days
4.0Home country · 0/4 here
Country comfort
6.0Hard → Clay
Surface transition
Context
5.0Didn't play here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bertrand R.
320
Sanchez Izquierdo N.
662

Conditions

Weather
17°COvercast
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 68%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
65%1st serve in65%
62%1st serve points won+6%68%
46%2nd serve points won+8%54%
56%Service points won+7%63%
42%Return points won42%
57%Break points saved+6%51%
2.1Aces / match+0.22.3
3.7Double faults / match+1.42.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.