Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi OsakaRoland Garros Round of 16

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 16
#1WTA
2220ELO
2103Clay ELO
$4.7MYTD
$50MCAREER
28 yrs · 182 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 1 June 2026 ·
clay
Court Philippe-Chatrier · 4th on
Night session
#14WTA
1987ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Sabalenka A.
7-5 6-3
Osaka N.
Sabalenka A.
762
Osaka N.
530

Aryna Sabalenka broke serve in the second set to take control and defeat Naomi Osaka 7-5 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 16.

Key context

  • Set 2, game 5: A 13-point game with four deuces went Naomi Osaka's way.
  • Pressure points: Aryna Sabalenka converted 4 of 5 break points; Naomi Osaka converted 1 of 1 break points.

Pressure & serve by court

Sabalenka A.
Osaka N.
Break points won
4/5
1/1
Break points saved
0/1
1/5

Break points from this match. Serve-by-court shows the share of service points won from each side of the court; the court side alternates every point.

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-05WimbledonR16grassNaomi Osaka2-6 6.2-7.7
2026-04-21MadridR16clayAryna Sabalenka6-7(1) 6-3 6-2
2026-03-04Indian WellsR16hardAryna Sabalenka6-2 6-4
2018-08-27US OpenR16hardNaomi Osaka6-3 2-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Sabalenka A.serving88% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Sabalenka A.

Serve advantage — Sabalenka A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
70%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
56%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
Return points won·Even
44%
41%
Break points saved·Even
69%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.2
6.4
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 7). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
98
91
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
100
97
Deciding sets·Even
97
99
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.3
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+266 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Clay Elo 1851
8.5Overall Elo 2240
ELO gap
1.5Overall Elo 1956
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
8.18 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.57 of last 10 on clay
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
6.5Won 76% in FRA (33)
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R128 here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
90
85

Sabalenka A.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Osaka N.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
26°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 37%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final