Jelena Ostapenko vs Ella SeidelRoland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 128
#29WTA
1855ELO
1808Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 May 2026 ·
clay
Court 6 · 3rd on
#99WTA
1616ELO
1526Clay ELO
21 yrs · 176 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWWW
Ostapenko J.
6-4 6-4
Seidel E.
Ostapenko J.
662
Seidel E.
440

Jelena Ostapenko defeated Ella Seidel 6-4 6-4 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jelena Ostapenko came in ranked #29, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

  • Match story: Jelena Ostapenko edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ostapenko J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Seidel E.

Seidel E.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Ostapenko J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
59%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
64%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
43%
Service points won·Even
55%
55%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
49%
52%
Aces / match·Slight edge
3.5
2.4
Double faults / match·Even
5.1
5.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
88
52
Break points saved·Even
79
77
Break points won·Dominant
100
70
Deciding sets·Dominant
96
40
Tiebreaks·Even
87
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
8.3+261 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.7Clay Elo 1558
7.6Overall Elo 1858
ELO gap
2.4Overall Elo 1653
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0No prior meetings
5.35 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
1.72 of last 10 on clay
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.7Won 61% in FRA (23)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
Defending pts
5.0Didn't play here last year

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
93
98

Ostapenko J.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Seidel E.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
32°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 36%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Ostapenko J.[29]
Seidel E.
6-46-4