Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska — Roland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 128
Jasmine Paolini
ITA13
Jasmine Paolini
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 25 May 2026 ·
clay
Court Simonne-Mathieu · 1st on
Dayana Yastremska
UKR
Dayana Yastremska
#67WTA
1792ELO
1731Clay ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWWWW
Paolini J.
7-5 6-3
Yastremska D.
Paolini J.
762
Yastremska D.
530

Jasmine Paolini defeated Dayana Yastremska 7-5 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's round of 16. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-17PalermoR16clayJasmine Paolini2-6 6-4 6-2
2022-10-10Cluj NapocaR16hardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-1
2022-02-28LyonQFhardDayana Yastremska6-4 7-6(3)
2021-11-08LinzR32hardJasmine Paolini6-4 3-6 6-2
2021-10-25CourmayeurQFhardJasmine Paolini6-4 7-6(4)
2021-09-13PortorozR32hardJasmine Paolini7-6(5) 4-1 RET
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paolini J.Yastremska D.
—
Serve
10
—
Return
24

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Paolini J.Yastremska D.
1st serve in·Even
66%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
58%
60%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
48%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
51%
Aces / match·Even
2.5
2.3
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.0
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (13 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Paolini J.Yastremska D.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
77
Break points saved·Even
87
89
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Yastremska D.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+125 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1749
6.4Overall Elo 1930
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1816
7.0Leads 1–0 on clay
H2H
3.0Trails 0–1 on clay
5.26 of last 10 on clay
Surface form
7.77 of last 10 on clay
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3-set count
7.01 three-setter in 14 days
5.8Won 64% in FRA (25)
Country comfort
Context
6.0Reached the last 16 here last year
Defending pts
6.0Reached the R32 here last year
5.0Opponent hot: 7 of last 10
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Paolini J.Yastremska D.
Freshness·Clear edge
72
90

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Yastremska D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
27°CMainly clear
Wind 7 km/hHumidity 55%
R128
R64
R32
R16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Sabalenka A.[1]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-46-2
Fruhvirtova L.
Jacquemot E.
4-63-6
Kasatkina D.
Sonmez Z.
6-46-4
Bandecchi S.
Bucsa C.[31]
6-42-66-4
Jovic I.[17]
Eala A.
6-46-2
Navarro E.
Tjen J.
6-46-3
Vekic D.
Tubello A.
6-36-2
Siegemund L.
Osaka N.[16]
3-66-73
Mboko V.[9]
Bartunkova N.
6-16-2
Waltert S.
Siniakova K.
4-66-74
Ruzic A.
Krueger A.
3-66-26-2
Vandewinkel H.
Keys M.[19]
3-60-6
Shnaider D.[25]
Zarazua R.
6-46-1
Guo H.
Kessler M.
6-46-715-7
Pridankina E.
Oliynykova O.
1-62-6
Birrell K.
Pegula J.[5]
1-66-36-3
Gauff C.[4]
Townsend T.
6-46-0
Galfi D.
Sherif M.
5-74-6
Urhobo A.
Boulter K.
4-66-44-6
Joint M.
Potapova A.[28]
1-62-6
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Boisson L.
6-26-2
Korneeva A.
Cocciaretto E.
6-36-3
Gibson T.
Putintseva Y.
6-44-61-6
Osorio C.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-26-4
Noskova L.[12]
Sakkari M.
5-76-73
Liu C.
Uchijima M.
3-66-04-1
Chwalinska M.
Zheng Q.
6-46-0
Maria T.
Mertens E.[23]
5-70-6
Li A.[30]
Zhang S.
6-46-2
Kalinina A.
Parry D.
6-02-64-6
Grabher J.
Sramkova R.
6-26-2
Rakotomanga Rajaonah T.
Anisimova A.[6]
3-61-6
Svitolina E.[7]
Bondar A.
3-66-17-63
Quevedo K.
Jeanjean L.
7-657-62
Sorribes Tormo S.
Korpatsch T.
4-62-6
Tagger L.
Wang X.[32]
3-66-34-6
Tauson C.[21]
Snigur D.
6-35-72-6
Kenin S.
Stearns P.
3-63-6
Tomljanovic A.
Mcnally C.
6-36-753-6
Kraus S.
Bencic B.[11]
2-63-6
Kostyuk M.[15]
Selekhmeteva O.
6-26-3
Volynets K.
Burel C.
6-36-1
Udvardy P.
Golubic V.
0-62-6
Parks A.
Fernandez L.[24]
6-46-4
Ostapenko J.[29]
Seidel E.
6-46-4
Valentova T.
Linette M.
7-54-66-79
Bejlek S.
Stephens S.
6-36-2
Jones E.
Swiatek I.[3]
1-62-6
Andreeva M.[8]
Ferro F.
6-36-3
Bassols Ribera M.
Arango E.
6-36-4
Jones F.
Haddad Maia B.
1-67-646-2
Bronzetti L.
Bouzkova M.[27]
3-61-6
Samsonova L.[20]
Teichmann J.
4-64-6
Frech M.
Ruse E.
7-652-1
Rakhimova K.
J. Cristian
6-34-66-4
Zakharova A.
Muchova K.[10]
5-72-6
Paolini J.[13]
Yastremska D.
7-56-3
Raducanu E.
Sierra S.
0-66-74
Marcinko P.
Lys E.
3-60-6
Efremova K.
Cirstea S.[18]
3-61-6
Baptiste H.[26]
Krejcikova B.
6-777-666-2
Kovinic D.
Wang X.
3-61-6
Blinkova A.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-61-6
Erjavec V.
Rybakina E.[2]
2-62-6
Sabalenka A.[1]
Jacquemot E.
7-56-2
Kasatkina D.
Bandecchi S.
7-57-611
Jovic I.[17]
Navarro E.
6-06-3
Vekic D.
Osaka N.[16]
6-714-6
Mboko V.[9]
Siniakova K.
5-76-46-2
Ruzic A.
Keys M.[19]
4-64-6
Shnaider D.[25]
Kessler M.
7-636-1
Oliynykova O.
Birrell K.
6-30-67-65
Gauff C.[4]
Sherif M.
6-36-2
Boulter K.
Potapova A.[28]
7-54-62-6
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Korneeva A.
7-626-4
Putintseva Y.
Osorio C.
5-77-665-7
Sakkari M.
Liu C.
6-776-36-3
Chwalinska M.
Mertens E.[23]
6-46-0
Li A.[30]
Parry D.
3-64-6
Grabher J.
Anisimova A.[6]
0-6
Svitolina E.[7]
Quevedo K.
6-06-4
Korpatsch T.
Wang X.[32]
6-22-66-3
Snigur D.
Stearns P.
4-60-6
Mcnally C.
Bencic B.[11]
4-60-6
Kostyuk M.[15]
Volynets K.
6-746-36-3
Golubic V.
Parks A.
6-26-2
Ostapenko J.[29]
Linette M.
2-66-22-6
Bejlek S.
Swiatek I.[3]
2-63-6
Andreeva M.[8]
Bassols Ribera M.
3-66-16-1
Jones F.
Bouzkova M.[27]
0-66-73
Teichmann J.
Frech M.
7-56-4
Rakhimova K.
Muchova K.[10]
2-62-6
Paolini J.[13]
Sierra S.
6-34-63-6
Lys E.
Cirstea S.[18]
3-60-6
Baptiste H.[26]
Wang X.
4-5
Starodubtseva Y.
Rybakina E.[2]
3-66-17-64
Sabalenka A.[1]
Kasatkina D.
6-07-5
Jovic I.[17]
Osaka N.[16]
6-757-634-6
Mboko V.[9]
Keys M.[19]
3-67-55-7
Shnaider D.[25]
Oliynykova O.
7-56-1
Gauff C.[4]
Potapova A.[28]
6-46-714-6
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Osorio C.
6-30-66-2
Sakkari M.
Chwalinska M.
6-13-62-6
Parry D.
Anisimova A.[6]
6-34-67-63
Svitolina E.[7]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-3
Stearns P.
Bencic B.[11]
3-63-6
Kostyuk M.[15]
Golubic V.
6-46-3
Linette M.
Swiatek I.[3]
4-64-6
Andreeva M.[8]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-46-2
Teichmann J.
Muchova K.[10]
6-17-5
Sierra S.
Cirstea S.[18]
0-60-6
Wang X.
Starodubtseva Y.
6-37-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Osaka N.[16]
7-56-3
Keys M.[19]
Shnaider D.[25]
3-66-30-6
Potapova A.[28]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
4-66-26-77
Chwalinska M.
Parry D.
6-36-2
Svitolina E.[7]
Bencic B.[11]
4-66-46-0
Kostyuk M.[15]
Swiatek I.[3]
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Teichmann J.
6-36-2
Cirstea S.[18]
Wang X.
6-37-64
Sabalenka A.[1]
Shnaider D.[25]
6-35-70-6
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Chwalinska M.
6-733-6
Svitolina E.[7]
Kostyuk M.[15]
3-66-22-6
Andreeva M.[8]
Cirstea S.[18]
6-06-3
Shnaider D.[25]
Chwalinska M.
6-744-6
Kostyuk M.[15]
Andreeva M.[8]
1-63-6
Chwalinska M.
Andreeva M.[8]
3-62-6