Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana Yastremska — Palermo Round of 16

Palermo · WTA · Round of 16
ITA
Jasmine Paolini
[5]
#13WTA
1930ELO
1874Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 July 2023
clay
UKR
Dayana Yastremska
#45WTA
1816ELO
1749Clay ELO
$373kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW

Jasmine Paolini defeated Dayana Yastremska 2-6 6-4 6-2 in the Palermo round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 5–1, defending last year's semi-final. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 6–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Paolini J.
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Yastremska D.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
7.1+125 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.9Clay Elo 1749
6.9Overall Elo 1930
ELO gap
3.1Overall Elo 1816
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.9
Surface form
2.1
0.0Lost last 3
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.2
Country comfort
3.0
Surface transition
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Paolini J.
2662
Yastremska D.
6421

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
0.72
SlowFast
Weather
36°CClear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 27%

Head to head

5–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosR128clayJasmine Paolini7-5 6-3
2022-10-10Cluj NapocaR16hardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-1
2022-02-28LyonQFhardDayana Yastremska6-4 7-6(3)
2021-11-08LinzR32hardJasmine Paolini6-4 3-6 6-2
2021-10-25CourmayeurQFhardJasmine Paolini6-4 7-6(4)
2021-09-13PortorozR32hardJasmine Paolini7-6(5) 4-1 RET
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Paolini J.Yastremska D.
67%1st serve in+5%62%
59%1st serve points won+1%60%
49%2nd serve points won+1%48%
56%Service points won56%
42%Return points won+2%44%
58%Break points saved+5%53%
2.1Aces / match+0.12.2
1.7Double faults / match+3.45.1

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Zheng Q.[2]
Paolini J.[5]
6-41-66-1
Semi-finals
Paolini J.[5]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-666-0
Zheng Q.[2]
Sherif M.[3]
6-44-66-1
Quarter-finals
Zheng Q.[2]
Navarro E.[7]
6-46-2
Paolini J.[5]
Kasatkina D.[1]
6-44-66-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Burel C.
6-17-66
Sherif M.[3]
Osorio C.
6-46-1
R16
Osorio C.
Andreeva E.
6-736-06-2
Navarro E.[7]
Rosatello C.
6-26-1
Kasatkina D.[1]
Prozorova T.
6-36-1
Burel C.
Bucsa C.
6-26-4
Zheng Q.[2]
Parry D.
7-53-66-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Brancaccio N.
6-36-2
Sherif M.[3]
Lansere S.
6-36-3
Paolini J.[5]
Yastremska D.
2-66-46-2
R32
Rosatello C.
Golubic V.
6-16-1
Lansere S.
Danilovic O.
6-3
Sorribes Tormo S.
Cocciaretto E.[4]
6-34-66-0
Brancaccio N.
Andrianjafitrimo T.
6-36-4
Prozorova T.
Abduraimova N.
6-36-4
Zheng Q.[2]
Errani S.
6-06-0
Andreeva E.
Bronzetti L.[6]
4-66-06-2
Osorio C.
Ferro F.
7-626-1
Parry D.
Zantedeschi A.
6-46-3
Sherif M.[3]
Bouzas Maneiro J.
3-67-667-5
Burel C.
Grabher J.[8]
6-47-5
Bucsa C.
Curmi F.
3-66-37-5
Paolini J.[5]
Rus A.
6-45-76-2
Yastremska D.
Ristic M.
6-46-2
Kasatkina D.[1]
Trevisan M.
6-36-726-0
Navarro E.[7]
Vedder E.
7-656-1