Jasmine Paolini vs Erika AndreevaLyon Round of 16

Lyon · WTA · Round of 16
#15WTA
1905ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 30 January 2023
hard
#231WTA
1553ELO
1513Hard ELO
22 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WLLWLWLLWW
Paolini J.
6-2 6-3
Andreeva E.
Paolini J.
662
Andreeva E.
230

Jasmine Paolini defeated Erika Andreeva 6-2 6-3 in the Lyon round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #15, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's quarter-final. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-07WuhanR16hardJasmine Paolini6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Andreeva E.

Andreeva E.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paolini J.Andreeva E.
31
Serve
55
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
47%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
55%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.3
2.5
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.8
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 183). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
65
Break points saved·Dominant
87
56
Break points won·Clear edge
99
86
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
78
Tiebreaks·Even
93
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
2.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 126 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
9.9+359 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.1Hard Elo 1513
10.0Overall Elo 1905
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1553
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
Surface transition
6.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
79
94

Paolini J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 46 games (7d) · Andreeva E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
2°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 71%