Jasmine Paolini vs Dayana YastremskaFlorence 125 Round of 16

Florence 125 · CHALLENGER · Round of 16
#17WTA
1905ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$16MCAREER
30 yrs · 160 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 May 2023
clay
#67WTA
1792ELO
1731Clay ELO
$505kYTD
$6.5MCAREER
26 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLWWW
Paolini J.
7-5 4-6 6-3
Yastremska D.
Paolini J.
7462
Yastremska D.
5631

Jasmine Paolini defeated Dayana Yastremska 7-5 4-6 6-3 in the Florence 125 round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Jasmine Paolini came in ranked #17, leading the head-to-head 6–1. Jasmine Paolini extended the head-to-head to 7–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Jasmine Paolini closed it out in three sets, 7–5 4–6 6–3.

Head to head

61
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-25Roland GarrosR128clayJasmine Paolini7-5 6-3
2023-07-17PalermoR16clayJasmine Paolini2-6 6-4 6-2
2022-10-10Cluj NapocaR16hardJasmine Paolini6-4 6-1
2022-02-28LyonQFhardDayana Yastremska6-4 7-6(3)
2021-11-08LinzR32hardJasmine Paolini6-4 3-6 6-2
2021-10-25CourmayeurQFhardJasmine Paolini6-4 7-6(4)
2021-09-13PortorozR32hardJasmine Paolini7-6(5) 4-1 RET

Serve vs return

This season
Paolini J.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Yastremska D.

Yastremska D.serving46% hold

wins 49% of points on serve vs Paolini J.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paolini J.Yastremska D.
Serve
10
Return
24

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
45%
44%
Break points saved·Even
55%
56%
Aces / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.8
4.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 188). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
89
77
Break points saved·Even
87
89
Break points won·Slight edge
99
92
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
63
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
72
90

Paolini J.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Yastremska D.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast