Marie Bouzkova vs Paula BadosaAdelaide Round of 32

Adelaide · WTA · Round of 32
#23WTA
1871ELO
1798Hard ELO
$844kYTD
$7.2MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#141WTA
1780ELO
1748Hard ELO
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWLLWWL
Bouzkova M.
3-6 6-3 6-4
Badosa P.
Bouzkova M.
3662
Badosa P.
6341

Marie Bouzkova defeated Paula Badosa 3-6 6-3 6-4 in the Adelaide round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Marie Bouzkova came in ranked #23, defending last year's round of 32. Marie Bouzkova claimed a first win over Paula Badosa in five meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

Head to head

04
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR32hardPaula Badosa6-7(4) 6-4 6-2
2025-05-18StrasbourgR16clayPaula Badosa3-3 RET
2024-07-29WashingtonFhardPaula Badosa6-1 4-6 6-4
2022-03-21MiamiR64hardPaula Badosa7-5 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Bouzkova M.serving68% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Badosa P.

Badosa P.serving66% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Bouzkova M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bouzkova M.Badosa P.
10
Serve
21
81
Return
19

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
66%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
62%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
39%
Service points won·Even
55%
56%
Return points won·Even
45%
43%
Break points saved·Even
55%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.6
4.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.9
7.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 18). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
79
93
Break points saved·Slight edge
90
95
Break points won·Even
98
94
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
71
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.4+51 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.6Hard Elo 1748
5.8Overall Elo 1871
ELO gap
4.2Overall Elo 1780
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.8
Surface form
4.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.3
Minutes 14d
7.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
4.0
4.2
Country comfort
5.4
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
81
58

Bouzkova M.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 20 games (7d) · Badosa P.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 98 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
25°CClear
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 32%