Karolina Muchova vs Naomi OsakaUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#6WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$4.5MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 0
Sets
Thursday, 29 August 2024 ·
hard
#13WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.8MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Muchova K.
6-3 7-6
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
6772
Osaka N.
3650

Karolina Muchova defeated Naomi Osaka 6-3 7-6 in the US Open round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #6, defending last year's semi-final. Karolina Muchova narrowed the head-to-head to 5–5.

Key context

Head to head

45
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-07WimbledonQFgrassKarolina Muchova6-7 4-6
2026-06-27Bad HomburgFgrassKarolina Muchova6-1 1-0
2025-09-03US OpenQFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 7-6(3)
2025-08-25US OpenQFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 7-6
2025-01-15Australian OpenR64hardNaomi Osaka1-6 6-1 6-3
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardNaomi Osaka1-6 6-1 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardKarolina Muchova6-3 7-6
2021-04-29MadridR32clayKarolina Muchova6-4 3-6 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR32hardNaomi Osaka6-7 6-4 6-2

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 97). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
93
92
Break points saved·Even
83
79
Break points won·Slight edge
85
96
Deciding sets·Even
95
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
99
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
100

Muchova K.: 15 days rest · Osaka N.: 19 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw