Karolina Muchova vs Naomi OsakaUS Open Round of 64

US Open · WTA · Round of 64
#9WTA
2066ELO
2034Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 26 August 2024
hard
#14WTA
1987ELO
1922Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Muchova K.
6-3 7-6
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
6772
Osaka N.
365

Karolina Muchova defeated Naomi Osaka 6-3 7-6 in the US Open round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9, defending last year's semi-final. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-07WimbledonQFgrassKarolina Muchova6.4-7.7 4-6
2026-06-27Bad HomburgFgrassKarolina Muchova6-1 1-0
2025-08-25US OpenQFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 7-6(3)
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardNaomi Osaka1-6 6-1 6-3
2021-04-29MadridR32clayKarolina Muchova6-4 3-6 6-1
2020-08-24CincinnatiR32hardNaomi Osaka6-7(5) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving82% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Muchova K.Osaka N.
70
Serve
70
44
Return
60

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
68%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
61%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
61%
60%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.8
6.6
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.9
2.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (92 vs 96). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
91
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
94
97
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
82

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 2 km/hHumidity 57%

Draw

R128
Stearns P.
Tsurenko L.
6-17-5
Minnen G.
Frech M.
7-57-5
Vekic D.
Birrell K.
6-46-4
Bronzetti L.
Sun L.
6-3
Kasatkina D.
Cristian J.
6-26-4
Keys M.
Siniakova K.
6-46-1
Sabalenka A.
Hon P.
6-36-3
Lepchenko V.
Fruhvirtova B.
2-1
Parry D.
Wang X.
7-627-65
Wang Y.
Sakkari M.
6-2
Uchijima M.
Korpatsch T.
3-66-36-4
Dolehide C.
Collins D.
1-67-56-4
Sorribes Tormo S.
Noel A.
6-16-3
Samsonova L.
Wang Q.
6-27-5
Rus A.
Bogdan A.
6-47-65
Niemeier J.
Yastremska D.
6-46-736-4
Tauson C.
Schmiedlova A.
1-67-656-2
Shnaider D.
Podoroska N.
6-06-1
Boulter K.
Sasnovich A.
5-76-26-1
Bouzas Maneiro J.
Martic P.
6-36-0
Haddad Maia B.
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-2
Badosa P.
Golubic V.
6-06-3
Kalinskaya A.
Davis L.
6-26-2
Navarro E.
Blinkova A.
6-16-1
Dart H.
Paquet C.
6-16-2
Bondar A.
Pera B.
6-33-66-3
Swiatek I.
Rakhimova K.
6-47-66
Wang X.
Rodionova A.
3-66-46-1
Pliskova K.
Sherif M.
6-30-67-5
Paolini J.
Andreescu B.
6-756-26-4
Krejcikova B.
Bassols Ribera M.
7-636-2
Ruse E.
Grabher J.
6-26-4
Tomljanovic A.
Li A.
6-46-4
Joint M.
Siegemund L.
6-47-5
Azarenka V.
Starodubtseva Y.
3-66-16-1
Jovic I.
Linette M.
6-46-3
Alexandrova E.
Tomova V.
6-746-07-5
Mertens E.
Kudermetova V.
3-66-46-3
Kenin S.
Raducanu E.
6-13-66-4
Putintseva Y.
Noskova L.
7-636-4
Andreeva E.
Yuan Y.
6-37-67
Zheng Q.
Anisimova A.
4-66-46-2
Gauff C.
Gracheva V.
6-26-0
Maria T.
Sierra S.
6-26-3
Kalinina A.
Dodin O.
6-13-66-1
Svitolina E.
Carle M.
3-66-36-4
Shibahara E.
Saville D.
6-34-67-66
Cocciaretto E.
Baindl K.
6-36-0
Pavlyuchenkova A.
Preston T.
6-26-0
Andreeva M.
Osorio C.
6-27-64
Krueger A.
Zhang S.
0-66-17-5
Bouzkova M.
Lys E.
6-21-67-5
Errani S.
Bucsa C.
3-66-06-4
Pegula J.
Rogers S.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.
Aiava D.
6-17-61
Ponchet J.
Zheng S.
6-46-1
Wozniacki C.
Hibino N.
6-06-1
Zarazua R.
Garcia C.
6-16-4
Osaka N.
Ostapenko J.
6-36-2
Muchova K.
Volynets K.
6-37-5
Potapova A.
Fernandez L.
2-66-47-5
Townsend T.
Trevisan M.
6-27-5
Burel C.
Stephens S.
0-67-57-5
Kostyuk M.
Kessler M.
6-26-3