Karolina Muchova vs Naomi OsakaMadrid Round of 32

Madrid · WTA · Round of 32
#9WTA
2066ELO
1893Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Thursday, 29 April 2021
clay
#14WTA
1987ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$26MCAREER
28 yrs · 180 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Muchova K.
6-4 3-6 6-1
Osaka N.
Muchova K.
6362
Osaka N.
4611

Karolina Muchova defeated Naomi Osaka 6-4 3-6 6-1 in the Madrid round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Karolina Muchova came in ranked #9. Karolina Muchova extended the head-to-head to 4–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Karolina Muchova came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–4 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

33
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-07WimbledonQFgrassKarolina Muchova6.4-7.7 4-6
2026-06-27Bad HomburgFgrassKarolina Muchova6-1 1-0
2025-08-25US OpenQFhardNaomi Osaka6-4 7-6(3)
2025-01-13Australian OpenR64hardNaomi Osaka1-6 6-1 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR64hardKarolina Muchova6-3 7-6(5)
2020-08-24CincinnatiR32hardNaomi Osaka6-7(5) 6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Muchova K.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Osaka N.

Osaka N.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Muchova K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
55%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
49%
Service points won·Even
60%
63%
Return points won·Even
43%
42%
Break points saved·Even
60%
61%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.6
6.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.2
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (189 vs 139). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
95
91
Break points saved·Even
98
96
Break points won·Even
94
97
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
95

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
51
82

Muchova K.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 113 games (7d) · Osaka N.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 44 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
14°CDrizzle
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 84%

Draw