Karen Khachanov vs Andrey RublevMadrid Masters Round of 16

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#22ATP
1828ELO
1787Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#13ATP
1902ELO
1872Clay ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Khachanov K.
7-6 6-4
Rublev A.
Khachanov K.
71062
Rublev A.
6840

Karen Khachanov defeated Andrey Rublev 7-6 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, defending last year's quarter-final. Karen Khachanov extended the head-to-head to 3–2.

Key context

Head to head

22
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-10Monte Carlo MastersR16clayAndrey Rublev7-6(4) 6-2
2021-06-14HalleR32grassAndrey Rublev6-3 7-6(5)
2019-03-04Indian Wells MastersR32hardKaren Khachanov7-5 6-3
2017-06-19HalleQFgrassKaren Khachanov7-6(8) 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Khachanov K.Rublev A.
Serve
14
Return
62

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
63%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.3
7.9
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.0
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (183 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
86
89
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
81
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
83
97
Tiebreaks·Even
92
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1787
Surface ELO
5.8+85 Clay Elo edge
4.3Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
5.7Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.6
Surface form
8.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
0.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
4.9
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
83
95

Khachanov K.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Rublev A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%