Jan Lennard Struff vs Aslan KaratsevMadrid Masters Semi-final

Madrid Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#74ATP
1694ELO
1659Clay ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
Struff J.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Karatsev A.
Struff J.
4662
Karatsev A.
6341

Jan Lennard Struff defeated Aslan Karatsev 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Madrid Masters semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Aslan Karatsev came in leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Jan Lennard Struff claimed a first win over Aslan Karatsev in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-24Madrid MastersQ2clayAslan Karatsev6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Struff J.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Karatsev A.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
76%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
8.8
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.4
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (190 vs 109). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
61
43
Break points saved·Slight edge
99
94
Break points won·Clear edge
21
39
Deciding sets·Dominant
68
37
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
41

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.0
Surface form
5.3
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
2.4
Minutes 14d
6.8
7.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Struff J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Coric B.[17]
6-46-3
Struff J.
Karatsev A.
4-66-36-4