Roman Safiullin vs Tommy PaulMadrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#132ATP
1750ELO
1754Clay ELO
$199kYTD
$4.3MCAREER
28 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#25ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
Safiullin R.
6-3 7-6
Paul T.
Safiullin R.
6772
Paul T.
3630

Roman Safiullin defeated Tommy Paul 6-3 7-6 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Roman Safiullin claimed a first win over Tommy Paul in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-08-28US OpenR64hardTommy Paul3-6 2-6 6-2 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Safiullin R.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Paul T.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Safiullin R.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Safiullin R.Paul T.
Serve
34
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
62%
64%
Aces / match·Even
6.3
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.2
2.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (180 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
68
93
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
44
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
98
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
78
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Clay Elo 1754
Surface ELO
6.3+131 Clay Elo edge
3.1Overall Elo 1750
ELO gap
6.9Overall Elo 1949
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.7
Surface form
2.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
74
86

Safiullin R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 40 games (7d) · Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%