Aslan Karatsev vs Alex De Minaur — Madrid Masters Round of 32

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 32
RUS
Aslan Karatsev
#1285ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
Alex De Minaur
AUS16
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1869Clay ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Karatsev A.
6-3 4-6 6-4
De Minaur A.
Karatsev A.
6462
De Minaur A.
3641

Aslan Karatsev defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the Madrid Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, defending last year's round of 32, but Aslan Karatsev had arrived on a 3-match winning run. Aslan Karatsev extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Aslan Karatsev closed it out in three sets, 6–3 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-16TokyoQFhardAslan Karatsev6-3 6-2
2020-11-09SofiaR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Karatsev A.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Karatsev A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Karatsev A.De Minaur A.
—
Serve
—
—
Return
39

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Karatsev A.De Minaur A.
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
37%
41%
Break points saved·Even
61%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.1
4.2
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.2
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (109 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Karatsev A.De Minaur A.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
43
95
Break points saved·Slight edge
94
99
Break points won·Dominant
39
97
Deciding sets·Dominant
37
97
Tiebreaks·Dominant
41
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karatsev A.
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
De Minaur A.
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
5.2
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
7.0
4.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Karatsev A.De Minaur A.
Freshness·
—
73

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Struff J.
6-43-66-3
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Coric B.[17]
6-46-3
Struff J.
Karatsev A.
4-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Coric B.[17]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-47-5
Struff J.
Tsitsipas S.[4]
7-655-76-3
Karatsev A.
Zhang Z.
7-636-4
R16
Karatsev A.
Medvedev D.[2]
7-616-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Zverev A.[13]
6-16-2
Altmaier D.
Munar J.
6-36-0
Coric B.[17]
Davidovich Fokina A.[29]
6-756-37-65
Struff J.
Cachin P.
7-676-776-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-36-1
Khachanov K.[10]
Rublev A.[5]
7-686-4
Zhang Z.
Fritz T.[8]
3-67-657-68
R32
Struff J.
Lajovic D.
6-726-36-3
Zapata Miralles B.
Safiullin R.
6-33-66-3
Munar J.
Arnaldi M.
3-66-36-1
Karatsev A.
De Minaur A.[16]
6-34-66-4
Cachin P.
Tiafoe F.[9]
6-17-62
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.[26]
6-27-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Bautista Agut R.[20]
7-54-66-3
Rublev A.[5]
Nishioka Y.[28]
6-27-5
Altmaier D.
Hanfmann Y.
7-636-3
Coric B.[17]
Hurkacz H.[12]
7-636-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[29]
Rune H.[6]
7-615-77-65
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Baez S.[25]
7-53-66-3
Fritz T.[8]
Garin C.
6-17-64
Zhang Z.
Norrie C.[11]
2-67-627-62
Medvedev D.[2]
Shevchenko A.
4-66-17-5
Zverev A.[13]
Grenier H.
6-16-0
R64
Dimitrov G.[26]
Barrere G.
7-667-62
Munar J.
Griekspoor T.[30]
7-630-0
Tiafoe F.[9]
Etcheverry T.
6-37-65
Safiullin R.
Paul T.[14]
6-37-63
De Minaur A.[16]
Cecchinato M.
6-47-65
Karatsev A.
Van De Zandschulp B.[23]
6-27-5
Grenier H.
Korda S.[22]
7-657-67
Fritz T.[8]
Oconnell C.
7-6116-4
Zhang Z.
Shapovalov D.[21]
6-746-47-61
Baez S.[25]
Giron M.
3-66-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Ruusuvuori E.
2-66-46-2
Zverev A.[13]
Carballes Baena R.
6-767-56-0
Khachanov K.[10]
Monteiro T.
6-33-66-3
Bautista Agut R.[20]
Halys Q.
4-67-656-3
Nishioka Y.[28]
Molcan A.
5-76-46-4
Rublev A.[5]
Wawrinka S.
7-56-4
Arnaldi M.
Ruud C.[3]
6-36-4
Altmaier D.
Otte O.
6-47-5
Hanfmann Y.
Musetti L.[15]
6-47-63
Hurkacz H.[12]
Gasquet R.
6-796-47-5
Rune H.[6]
Bublik A.
6-14-67-69
Lajovic D.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
6-23-67-65
Struff J.
Shelton B.[32]
4-67-647-5
Cachin P.
Cerundolo F.[24]
6-17-66
Zapata Miralles B.
Evans D.[19]
6-36-2
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Thiem D.
3-66-17-65
Garin C.
Kecmanovic M.[27]
7-636-756-4
Norrie C.[11]
Watanuki Y.
6-47-65
Shevchenko A.
Lehecka J.[31]
6-16-1
Medvedev D.[2]
Vavassori A.
6-46-3
Coric B.[17]
Gaston H.
6-36-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[29]
Ramos A.
6-36-4
R128
Ruusuvuori E.
Humbert U.
7-667-64
Munar J.
Kokkinakis T.
7-677-63
Arnaldi M.
Paire B.
6-13-67-66
Wawrinka S.
Cressy M.
6-736-37-64
Zapata Miralles B.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-37-64
Safiullin R.
Jarry N.
6-23-66-3
Grenier H.
Schwartzman D.
7-56-4
Giron M.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Barrere G.
Nava E.
6-05-76-3
Bublik A.
Galan D.
7-6156-746-4
Gaston H.
Chardy J.
6-36-4
Carballes Baena R.
Goffin D.
6-46-4
Monteiro T.
Gojo B.
7-694-66-3
Halys Q.
Popyrin A.
4-66-46-4
Molcan A.
Wu Y.
6-26-4
Otte O.
Kotov P.
6-34-66-4
Hanfmann Y.
Varillas J.
6-43-66-3
Gasquet R.
Landaluce M.
6-26-1
Ramos A.
Ivashka I.
4-67-636-2
Struff J.
Sonego L.
6-36-1
Cachin P.
Shelbayh A.
6-16-4
Etcheverry T.
Mannarino A.
6-46-0
Thiem D.
Edmund K.
6-46-1
Oconnell C.
Krajinovic F.
6-46-726-2
Garin C.
Huesler M.
7-656-2
Zhang Z.
Rodionov J.
7-666-4
Watanuki Y.
Moutet C.
6-36-3
Cecchinato M.
Fucsovics M.
7-646-3
Karatsev A.
Djere L.
7-657-5
Shevchenko A.
Wolf J.
6-46-4
Vavassori A.
Murray A.
6-27-67
Lajovic D.
Kubler J.
6-36-3