Aslan Karatsev vs Alex De Minaur — Tokyo Quarter-final

Tokyo · ATP · Quarter-final
RUS
Aslan Karatsev
#1277ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
AUS
Alex De Minaur
[4]
#7ATP
1979ELO
1944Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLW

Aslan Karatsev defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 6-2 in the Tokyo quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #7, defending last year's round of 32. Aslan Karatsev extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karatsev A.
6.0
Even matchUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
De Minaur A.
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
0.0
H2H
10.0
4.4
Surface form
5.4
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Karatsev A.
662
De Minaur A.
320

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.13
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayAslan Karatsev6-3 4-6 6-4
2020-11-09SofiaR16hardAlex De Minaur6-4 7-6(5)
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Karatsev A.De Minaur A.
60%1st serve in+2%58%
70%1st serve points won+1%71%
45%2nd serve points won+11%56%
60%Service points won+5%65%
40%Return points won+1%39%
54%Break points saved+9%63%
4.1Aces / match+0.24.3
4.6Double faults / match+1.92.7

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Shelton B.
Karatsev A.
7-56-1
Semi-finals
Shelton B.
Giron M.
6-727-656-4
Karatsev A.
Mochizuki S.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Shelton B.
Paul T.[5]
7-646-3
Karatsev A.
De Minaur A.[4]
6-36-2
Mochizuki S.
Popyrin A.
7-52-67-5
Giron M.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-16-4
R16
Giron M.
Ruud C.[2]
6-36-4
Mochizuki S.
Fritz T.[1]
0-66-47-62
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ofner S.
6-46-1
Shelton B.
Thompson J.
6-756-46-3
Paul T.[5]
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
Karatsev A.
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Schwartzman D.
6-07-5
Popyrin A.
Garin C.
4-67-636-2
R32
Ruud C.[2]
Watanuki Y.
7-666-3
Mcdonald M.
Purcell M.
7-56-4
Popyrin A.
Khachanov K.[7]
6-46-2
Karatsev A.
Tiafoe F.[6]
6-37-64
Zhang Z.
Hurkacz H.
3-66-47-64
Mochizuki S.
Etcheverry T.
6-47-65
Paul T.[5]
Altmaier D.
3-66-16-3
Shelton B.
Daniel T.
3-66-47-62
Thompson J.
Zverev A.[3]
6-36-4
Ofner S.
Oconnell C.
6-727-657-5
Giron M.
Nishioka Y.
7-6144-66-1
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Vukic A.
7-636-726-2
Garin C.
Shimabukuro S.
6-43-66-3
De Minaur A.[4]
Draper J.
4-67-647-61
Schwartzman D.
Cerundolo F.
6-46-1
Fritz T.[1]
Norrie C.
6-46-3