Aslan Karatsev vs Shintaro Mochizuki — Tokyo Semi-final

Tokyo · ATP · Semi-final
RUS
Aslan Karatsev
#1277ATP
32 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 16 October 2023
hard
JPN
Shintaro Mochizuki
#130ATP
1488ELO
1432Hard ELO
$203kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
23 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWLLL

Aslan Karatsev defeated Shintaro Mochizuki 6-3 6-4 in the Tokyo semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Shintaro Mochizuki came in ranked #130, defending last year's round of 32.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Karatsev A.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Mochizuki S.
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
Form & Matchup
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
1.6
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 6
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.9
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Country comfort
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Karatsev A.
662
Mochizuki S.
340

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
1.13
SlowFast
Weather
24°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 42%

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Statistics

Recent form
Karatsev A.Mochizuki S.
60%1st serve in+8%52%
70%1st serve points won+4%66%
45%2nd serve points won+1%46%
60%Service points won+4%56%
40%Return points won+3%37%
54%Break points saved+3%57%
4.1Aces / match+0.83.3
4.6Double faults / match+1.66.2

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Shelton B.
Karatsev A.
7-56-1
Semi-finals
Shelton B.
Giron M.
6-727-656-4
Karatsev A.
Mochizuki S.
6-36-4
Quarter-finals
Shelton B.
Paul T.[5]
7-646-3
Karatsev A.
De Minaur A.[4]
6-36-2
Mochizuki S.
Popyrin A.
7-52-67-5
Giron M.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-16-4
R16
Giron M.
Ruud C.[2]
6-36-4
Mochizuki S.
Fritz T.[1]
0-66-47-62
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ofner S.
6-46-1
Shelton B.
Thompson J.
6-756-46-3
Paul T.[5]
Mcdonald M.
6-46-2
Karatsev A.
Zhang Z.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.[4]
Schwartzman D.
6-07-5
Popyrin A.
Garin C.
4-67-636-2
R32
Ruud C.[2]
Watanuki Y.
7-666-3
Mcdonald M.
Purcell M.
7-56-4
Popyrin A.
Khachanov K.[7]
6-46-2
Karatsev A.
Tiafoe F.[6]
6-37-64
Zhang Z.
Hurkacz H.
3-66-47-64
Mochizuki S.
Etcheverry T.
6-47-65
Paul T.[5]
Altmaier D.
3-66-16-3
Shelton B.
Daniel T.
3-66-47-62
Thompson J.
Zverev A.[3]
6-36-4
Ofner S.
Oconnell C.
6-727-657-5
Giron M.
Nishioka Y.
7-6144-66-1
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Vukic A.
7-636-726-2
Garin C.
Shimabukuro S.
6-43-66-3
De Minaur A.[4]
Draper J.
4-67-647-61
Schwartzman D.
Cerundolo F.
6-46-1
Fritz T.[1]
Norrie C.
6-46-3