Frances Tiafoe vs Alex De Minaur — Paris Masters Round of 16

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Frances Tiafoe
USA16
Frances Tiafoe
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 31 October 2022
hard
Alex De Minaur
AUS
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
Tiafoe F.
6-3 7-6
De Minaur A.
Tiafoe F.
6772
De Minaur A.
3650

Frances Tiafoe defeated Alex De Minaur 6-3 7-6 in the Paris Masters round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 5–0, defending last year's round of 64. Frances Tiafoe claimed a first win over Alex De Minaur in six meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–5
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardAlex De Minaur6-3 6-4 7-5
2025-07-27Canada MastersR16hardAlex De Minaur6-2 4-6 6-4
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsSFhardAlex De Minaur4-2 4-1 0-4 4-2
2018-08-27US OpenR64hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-0 5-7 6-2
2017-01-02BrisbaneQ2hardAlex De Minaur6-7(4) 6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

De Minaur A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tiafoe F.De Minaur A.
38
Serve
48
37
Return
80

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Tiafoe F.De Minaur A.
1st serve in·Even
59%
56%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
55%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Even
64%
61%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.9
4.2
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Tiafoe F.De Minaur A.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
95
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
57
97
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
97
Tiebreaks·Even
98
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Tiafoe F.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
De Minaur A.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.7Hard Elo 1861
Surface ELO
6.3+74 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1961
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.3
Surface form
6.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
4.8
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Tiafoe F.De Minaur A.
Freshness·Even
76
77

Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
16°CClear
Wind 12 km/hHumidity 85%
Final
Rune H.
Djokovic N.[6]
3-66-37-5
Semi-finals
Rune H.
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
6-46-2
Djokovic N.[6]
Tsitsipas S.[5]
6-23-67-64
Quarter-finals
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Tiafoe F.[16]
6-16-4
Djokovic N.[6]
Musetti L.
6-06-3
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Paul T.
6-26-4
Rune H.
Alcaraz C.[1]
6-36-6
R16
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.
6-16-3
Rune H.
Rublev A.[7]
6-47-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
De Minaur A.
6-37-65
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Simon G.
6-16-3
Djokovic N.[6]
Khachanov K.
6-46-1
Musetti L.
Ruud C.[3]
4-66-46-4
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Moutet C.
6-37-63
Paul T.
Carreno Busta P.[14]
6-46-4
R32
Alcaraz C.[1]
Nishioka Y.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Fognini F.
6-07-5
Rune H.
Hurkacz H.[10]
7-56-1
Rublev A.[7]
Isner J.
6-26-3
De Minaur A.
Medvedev D.[4]
6-42-67-5
Tiafoe F.[16]
Draper J.
6-37-5
Simon G.
Fritz T.[9]
7-55-76-4
Auger Aliassime F.[8]
Ymer M.
6-766-47-66
Djokovic N.[6]
Cressy M.
7-616-4
Khachanov K.
Huesler M.
6-34-66-4
Musetti L.
Basilashvili N.
6-46-2
Ruud C.[3]
Gasquet R.
6-17-67
Tsitsipas S.[5]
Evans D.
6-36-4
Moutet C.
Norrie C.[12]
6-35-77-63
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Shapovalov D.
7-622-66-4
Paul T.
Nadal R.[2]
3-67-646-1
R64
Norrie C.[12]
Kecmanovic M.
6-26-4
Nishioka Y.
Karatsev A.
6-36-4
Fognini F.
Fils A.
7-656-746-2
Rune H.
Wawrinka S.
4-67-57-63
Isner J.
Otte O.
6-47-63
De Minaur A.
Korda S.
6-44-66-4
Draper J.
Rinderknech A.
6-36-4
Tiafoe F.[16]
Sonego L.
6-46-4
Fritz T.[9]
Davidovich Fokina A.
7-56-2
Cressy M.
Schwartzman D.
6-36-3
Khachanov K.
Baez S.
6-16-1
Huesler M.
Sinner J.[11]
6-26-3
Musetti L.
Cilic M.[15]
6-46-4
Basilashvili N.
Halys Q.
6-36-4
Gasquet R.
Molcan A.
6-36-1
Evans D.
Nakashima B.
6-33-66-4
Moutet C.
Coric B.
3-66-36-4
Carreno Busta P.[14]
Ramos A.
6-36-3
Shapovalov D.
Cerundolo F.
6-726-36-4
Paul T.
Bautista Agut R.
6-46-4
Dimitrov G.
Van De Zandschulp B.
7-657-65
Hurkacz H.[10]
Mannarino A.
7-656-4
Simon G.
Murray A.
4-67-56-3
Ymer M.
Bublik A.
6-16-726-4