Alex De Minaur vs Frances Tiafoe — Canada Masters Round of 16

Canada Masters · ATP · Round of 16
Alex De Minaur
AUS9
Alex De Minaur
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 27 July 2025
hard
Frances Tiafoe
USA7
Frances Tiafoe
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
De Minaur A.
6-2 4-6 6-4
Tiafoe F.
De Minaur A.
6462
Tiafoe F.
2641

Alex De Minaur defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Canada Masters round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 4–1. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 5–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Alex De Minaur closed it out in three sets, 6–2 4–6 6–4.

Head to head

4–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-19Australian OpenR32hardAlex De Minaur6-3 6-4 7-5
2022-10-31Paris MastersR16hardFrances Tiafoe6-3 7-6(5)
2019-11-05NextGen FinalsSFhardAlex De Minaur4-2 4-1 0-4 4-2
2018-08-27US OpenR64hardAlex De Minaur6-4 6-0 5-7 6-2
2017-01-02BrisbaneQ2hardAlex De Minaur6-7(4) 6-4 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve advantage — De Minaur A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Tiafoe F.
48
Serve
38
80
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
De Minaur A.Tiafoe F.
1st serve in·Even
57%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
74%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.0
7.5
Double faults / match·Even
2.4
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (96 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
De Minaur A.Tiafoe F.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
95
83
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
97
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
97
92
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
De Minaur A.
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Tiafoe F.
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.3+74 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1861
6.2Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1918
0.0
H2H
10.0
8.6
Surface form
5.9
9.07-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
3.3
Minutes 14d
7.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
De Minaur A.Tiafoe F.
Freshness·Even
73
72

De Minaur A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 72 games (7d) · Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
29°CPartly cloudy
Wind 15 km/hHumidity 55%
Final
Shelton B.[4]
Khachanov K.[11]
6-756-47-63
Semi-finals
Khachanov K.[11]
Zverev A.[1]
6-34-67-64
Shelton B.[4]
Fritz T.[2]
6-46-3
Quarter-finals
Fritz T.[2]
Rublev A.[6]
6-37-64
Shelton B.[4]
De Minaur A.[9]
6-36-4
Zverev A.[1]
Popyrin A.[18]
6-786-46-3
Khachanov K.[11]
Michelsen A.[26]
6-47-63
R16
Fritz T.[2]
Lehecka J.[19]
7-646-757-65
De Minaur A.[9]
Tiafoe F.[7]
6-24-66-4
Zverev A.[1]
Cerundolo F.[14]
6-41-0
Rublev A.[6]
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
6-737-623-0
Khachanov K.[11]
Ruud C.[8]
6-47-5
Shelton B.[4]
Cobolli F.[13]
6-44-67-61
Michelsen A.[26]
Tien L.
6-36-3
Popyrin A.[18]
Rune H.[5]
4-66-26-3
R32
Cerundolo F.[14]
Etcheverry T.
6-36-4
De Minaur A.
Oconnell C.
W/O
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Mensik J.[12]
6-26-4
Khachanov K.[11]
Nava E.
6-766-46-1
Rune H.[5]
Muller A.[29]
6-26-4
Michelsen A.[26]
Musetti L.[3]
3-67-646-4
Ruud C.[8]
Borges N.[30]
7-56-4
Tiafoe F.[7]
Vukic A.
6-34-66-3
Popyrin A.[18]
Medvedev D.[10]
5-76-46-4
Rublev A.[6]
Sonego L.[28]
5-76-46-3
Zverev A.[1]
Arnaldi M.[32]
6-756-36-2
Shelton B.[4]
Nakashima B.[25]
6-786-27-65
Tien L.
Opelka R.
7-636-3
Cobolli F.[13]
Marozsan F.
6-24-66-3
Lehecka J.[19]
Fils A.[15]
3-66-36-4
Fritz T.[2]
Diallo G.[27]
6-46-2
R64
Muller A.[29]
Kecmanovic M.
2-66-37-5
Khachanov K.[11]
Ficovich J.
6-46-2
Davidovich Fokina A.[20]
Moutet C.
6-46-3
Michelsen A.[26]
Barrios Vera T.
7-676-3
Vukic A.
Norrie C.[31]
6-36-726-3
Nakashima B.[25]
Quinn E.
7-666-4
Rune H.[5]
Mpetshi Perricard G.
7-676-3
Medvedev D.[10]
Svrcina D.
7-636-4
Nava E.
Atmane T.
6-27-5
Marozsan F.
Auger Aliassime F.[21]
6-46-4
Musetti L.[3]
Duckworth J.
7-56-1
Tien L.
Shapovalov D.[22]
7-647-5
Lehecka J.[19]
Mcdonald M.
7-626-4
Fils A.[15]
Carreno Busta P.
6-36-4
Shelton B.[4]
Mannarino A.
6-26-3
Etcheverry T.
Griekspoor T.[24]
6-47-64
Oconnell C.
Tsitsipas S.[23]
6-44-66-2
Popyrin A.[18]
Arseneault N.
7-676-3
Zverev A.[1]
Walton A.
7-666-4
Mensik J.[12]
Boyer T.
6-46-4
Tiafoe F.[7]
Watanuki Y.
1-67-57-65
Cobolli F.[13]
Galarneau A.
6-45-76-4
Fritz T.[2]
Carballes Baena R.
7-57-61
Sonego L.[28]
Yunchaokete B.
6-16-4
De Minaur A.[9]
Comesana F.
6-46-2
Arnaldi M.[32]
Schoolkate T.
6-33-66-3
Ruud C.[8]
Safiullin R.
6-36-3
Diallo G.[27]
Gigante M.
6-37-65
Cerundolo F.[14]
Munar J.
7-644-66-4
Borges N.[30]
Bagnis F.
5-77-636-2
Rublev A.[6]
Gaston H.
6-26-3
Opelka R.
Machac T.[16]
7-656-756-3
R128
Carballes Baena R.
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-44-1
Gaston H.
Bellucci M.
3-66-42-0
Ficovich J.
Fearnley J.
6-26-3
Moutet C.
Brooksby J.
6-26-1
Nava E.
Bergs Z.
6-17-64
Yunchaokete B.
Kopriva V.
7-646-2
Galarneau A.
Rinderknech A.
7-626-3
Walton A.
Bonzi B.
4-66-06-3
Etcheverry T.
Herbert P.
6-44-67-5
Munar J.
Martin D.
6-36-0
Bagnis F.
Pospisil V.
6-23-66-3
Opelka R.
Ofner S.
7-667-5
Kecmanovic M.
Halys Q.
4-66-47-5
Barrios Vera T.
Monfils G.
6-44-67-63
Watanuki Y.
Altmaier D.
3-66-16-4
Gigante M.
Coric B.
4-66-27-62
Schoolkate T.
Fonseca J.
7-656-4
Marozsan F.
Dellien H.
6-26-2
Mpetshi Perricard G.
Mochizuki S.
6-46-2
Boyer T.
Kovacevic A.
7-57-63
Mannarino A.
Giron M.
6-46-4
Quinn E.
Nishioka Y.
7-616-2
Safiullin R.
Blanchet U.
4-66-27-69
Carreno Busta P.
Draxl L.
2-66-46-4
Duckworth J.
Shang J.
6-37-63
Comesana F.
Dzumhur D.
6-37-5
Tien L.
Smith C.
6-47-5
Mcdonald M.
Goffin D.
6-46-4
Svrcina D.
Blockx A.
6-46-2
Arseneault N.
Royer V.
6-37-64
Vukic A.
Martinez P.
7-56-3
Oconnell C.
Tseng C.
6-16-2