Holger Rune vs Alexander Bublik — Madrid Masters Round of 64

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Holger Rune
DEN6
Holger Rune
#77ATP
1757ELO
1729Clay ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
Alexander Bublik
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
Rune H.
6-1 4-6 7-6
Bublik A.
Rune H.
647112
Bublik A.
16691

Holger Rune defeated Alexander Bublik 6-1 4-6 7-6 in the Madrid Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11, defending last year's round of 64, but Holger Rune had arrived on a 8-match winning run. Holger Rune extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Holger Rune came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 6–1 4–6 7–6.

Head to head

1–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardHolger Rune6-4 6-2
2022-09-19MetzQFhardAlexander Bublik6-3 5-7 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Rune H.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Bublik A.serving84% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Rune H.Bublik A.
—
Serve
55
—
Return
51

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Rune H.Bublik A.
1st serve in·Even
61%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
54%
46%
Service points won·Even
66%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
64%
64%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.8
11.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.2
5.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (186 vs 194). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Rune H.Bublik A.
Clutch Rating·Even
91
88
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
84
67
Deciding sets·Even
98
99
Tiebreaks·Even
99
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Rune H.
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Bublik A.
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.5Clay Elo 1729
Surface ELO
6.5+94 Clay Elo edge
3.2Overall Elo 1757
ELO gap
6.8Overall Elo 1889
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.7
Surface form
0.9
10.08-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
0.0
Minutes 14d
8.2
0.0
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0
Opponent rise
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Rune H.Bublik A.
Freshness·
—
66

Bublik A.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 88 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Struff J.
6-43-66-3
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Coric B.[17]
6-46-3
Struff J.
Karatsev A.
4-66-36-4
Quarter-finals
Coric B.[17]
Altmaier D.
6-36-3
Alcaraz C.[1]
Khachanov K.[10]
6-47-5
Struff J.
Tsitsipas S.[4]
7-655-76-3
Karatsev A.
Zhang Z.
7-636-4
R16
Karatsev A.
Medvedev D.[2]
7-616-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Zverev A.[13]
6-16-2
Altmaier D.
Munar J.
6-36-0
Coric B.[17]
Davidovich Fokina A.[29]
6-756-37-65
Struff J.
Cachin P.
7-676-776-3
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Zapata Miralles B.
6-36-1
Khachanov K.[10]
Rublev A.[5]
7-686-4
Zhang Z.
Fritz T.[8]
3-67-657-68
R32
Struff J.
Lajovic D.
6-726-36-3
Zapata Miralles B.
Safiullin R.
6-33-66-3
Munar J.
Arnaldi M.
3-66-36-1
Karatsev A.
De Minaur A.[16]
6-34-66-4
Cachin P.
Tiafoe F.[9]
6-17-62
Alcaraz C.[1]
Dimitrov G.[26]
6-27-5
Khachanov K.[10]
Bautista Agut R.[20]
7-54-66-3
Rublev A.[5]
Nishioka Y.[28]
6-27-5
Altmaier D.
Hanfmann Y.
7-636-3
Coric B.[17]
Hurkacz H.[12]
7-636-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[29]
Rune H.[6]
7-615-77-65
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Baez S.[25]
7-53-66-3
Fritz T.[8]
Garin C.
6-17-64
Zhang Z.
Norrie C.[11]
2-67-627-62
Medvedev D.[2]
Shevchenko A.
4-66-17-5
Zverev A.[13]
Grenier H.
6-16-0
R64
Dimitrov G.[26]
Barrere G.
7-667-62
Munar J.
Griekspoor T.[30]
7-630-0
Tiafoe F.[9]
Etcheverry T.
6-37-65
Safiullin R.
Paul T.[14]
6-37-63
De Minaur A.[16]
Cecchinato M.
6-47-65
Karatsev A.
Van De Zandschulp B.[23]
6-27-5
Grenier H.
Korda S.[22]
7-657-67
Fritz T.[8]
Oconnell C.
7-6116-4
Zhang Z.
Shapovalov D.[21]
6-746-47-61
Baez S.[25]
Giron M.
3-66-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Ruusuvuori E.
2-66-46-2
Zverev A.[13]
Carballes Baena R.
6-767-56-0
Khachanov K.[10]
Monteiro T.
6-33-66-3
Bautista Agut R.[20]
Halys Q.
4-67-656-3
Nishioka Y.[28]
Molcan A.
5-76-46-4
Rublev A.[5]
Wawrinka S.
7-56-4
Arnaldi M.
Ruud C.[3]
6-36-4
Altmaier D.
Otte O.
6-47-5
Hanfmann Y.
Musetti L.[15]
6-47-63
Hurkacz H.[12]
Gasquet R.
6-796-47-5
Rune H.[6]
Bublik A.
6-14-67-69
Lajovic D.
Auger Aliassime F.[7]
6-23-67-65
Struff J.
Shelton B.[32]
4-67-647-5
Cachin P.
Cerundolo F.[24]
6-17-66
Zapata Miralles B.
Evans D.[19]
6-36-2
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Thiem D.
3-66-17-65
Garin C.
Kecmanovic M.[27]
7-636-756-4
Norrie C.[11]
Watanuki Y.
6-47-65
Shevchenko A.
Lehecka J.[31]
6-16-1
Medvedev D.[2]
Vavassori A.
6-46-3
Coric B.[17]
Gaston H.
6-36-3
Davidovich Fokina A.[29]
Ramos A.
6-36-4
R128
Ruusuvuori E.
Humbert U.
7-667-64
Munar J.
Kokkinakis T.
7-677-63
Arnaldi M.
Paire B.
6-13-67-66
Wawrinka S.
Cressy M.
6-736-37-64
Zapata Miralles B.
Mcdonald M.
3-66-37-64
Safiullin R.
Jarry N.
6-23-66-3
Grenier H.
Schwartzman D.
7-56-4
Giron M.
Borges N.
6-27-67
Barrere G.
Nava E.
6-05-76-3
Bublik A.
Galan D.
7-6156-746-4
Gaston H.
Chardy J.
6-36-4
Carballes Baena R.
Goffin D.
6-46-4
Monteiro T.
Gojo B.
7-694-66-3
Halys Q.
Popyrin A.
4-66-46-4
Molcan A.
Wu Y.
6-26-4
Otte O.
Kotov P.
6-34-66-4
Hanfmann Y.
Varillas J.
6-43-66-3
Gasquet R.
Landaluce M.
6-26-1
Ramos A.
Ivashka I.
4-67-636-2
Struff J.
Sonego L.
6-36-1
Cachin P.
Shelbayh A.
6-16-4
Etcheverry T.
Mannarino A.
6-46-0
Thiem D.
Edmund K.
6-46-1
Oconnell C.
Krajinovic F.
6-46-726-2
Garin C.
Huesler M.
7-656-2
Zhang Z.
Rodionov J.
7-666-4
Watanuki Y.
Moutet C.
6-36-3
Cecchinato M.
Fucsovics M.
7-646-3
Karatsev A.
Djere L.
7-657-5
Shevchenko A.
Wolf J.
6-46-4
Vavassori A.
Murray A.
6-27-67
Lajovic D.
Kubler J.
6-36-3