Alexander Bublik vs Holger Rune — Metz Quarter-final

Metz · ATP · Quarter-final
Alexander Bublik
KAZ7
Alexander Bublik
#11ATP
1889ELO
1837Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 19 September 2022
hard
Holger Rune
DEN4
Holger Rune
#81ATP
1757ELO
1725Hard ELO
$0YTD
$16MCAREER
23 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWLWW
Bublik A.
6-3 5-7 6-4
Rune H.
Bublik A.
6562
Rune H.
3741

Alexander Bublik defeated Holger Rune 6-3 5-7 6-4 in the Metz quarter-final on hard. Alexander Bublik claimed a first win over Holger Rune in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-10-28Paris MastersR32hardHolger Rune6-4 6-2
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR64clayHolger Rune6-1 4-6 7-6(9)
View full head-to-head →

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rune H.

Rune H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bublik A.Rune H.
65
Serve
47
25
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Bublik A.Rune H.
1st serve in·Even
61%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
46%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
11.1
5.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Bublik A.Rune H.
Clutch Rating·Even
88
91
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Clear edge
67
84
Deciding sets·Even
99
98
Tiebreaks·Even
96
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Rune H.
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
6.3+112 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.7Hard Elo 1725
6.8Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
3.2Overall Elo 1757
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.5
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Bublik A.Rune H.
Freshness·
74
—

Bublik A.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Sonego L.
Bublik A.[7]
7-636-2
Semi-finals
Bublik A.[7]
Wawrinka S.
2-1
Sonego L.
Hurkacz H.[2]
7-656-4
Quarter-finals
Sonego L.
Korda S.
6-46-4
Hurkacz H.[2]
Rinderknech A.
6-36-2
Bublik A.[7]
Rune H.[4]
6-35-76-4
Wawrinka S.
Ymer M.
6-44-67-65
R16
Ymer M.
Barrere G.
6-46-3
Wawrinka S.
Medvedev D.[1]
6-46-776-3
Sonego L.
Simon G.
7-626-4
Rinderknech A.
Basilashvili N.[5]
7-6116-3
Rune H.[4]
Bonzi B.
6-44-1
Hurkacz H.[2]
Thiem D.
6-36-4
Korda S.
Musetti L.[3]
6-37-66
Bublik A.[7]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-746-46-3
R32
Korda S.
Gaston H.
6-37-62
Barrere G.
Otte O.
7-637-5
Ymer M.
Mannarino A.[8]
7-56-0
Bonzi B.
Humbert U.
6-22-66-1
Bublik A.[7]
Furness E.
5-76-47-65
Basilashvili N.[5]
Bergs Z.
4-61-2
Rinderknech A.
Munar J.
6-22-67-5
Thiem D.
Gasquet R.
6-37-63
Sonego L.
Karatsev A.[6]
7-56-3
Ruusuvuori E.
Lehecka J.
6-46-4
Simon G.
Goffin D.
6-36-3
Wawrinka S.
Sousa J.
7-616-2