Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Sebastian BaezMadrid Masters Round of 32

Madrid Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#87ATP
1833ELO
1841Clay ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#57ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Tsitsipas S.
7-5 3-6 6-3
Baez S.
Tsitsipas S.
7362
Baez S.
5631

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Sebastian Baez 7-5 3-6 6-3 in the Madrid Masters round of 32 on clay. The result followed the form book — Stefanos Tsitsipas came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's semi-final. Stefanos Tsitsipas extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-1
2022-01-17Australian OpenR64hardStefanos Tsitsipas7-6(1) 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Tsitsipas S.Baez S.
52
Serve
1
0
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (197 vs 197). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
87
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Slight edge
77
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.2+123 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.8Clay Elo 1718
6.4Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.7
Surface form
4.6
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
3.4
Minutes 14d
8.0
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.4
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
94

Tsitsipas S.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%