Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Sebastian BaezAustralian Open Round of 64

Australian Open · ATP · Round of 64
#85ATP
1833ELO
1803Hard ELO
$992kYTD
$38MCAREER
27 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWLWLWW
3 — 1
Sets
Monday, 17 January 2022
hard
#56ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Tsitsipas S.
7-6 6-7 6-3 6-4
Baez S.
Tsitsipas S.
7765663
Baez S.
6177341

Stefanos Tsitsipas defeated Sebastian Baez 7-6 6-7 6-3 6-4 in the Australian Open round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Stefanos Tsitsipas came in leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's semi-final. Stefanos Tsitsipas extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR16clayStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 6-1
2023-04-24Madrid MastersR32clayStefanos Tsitsipas7-5 3-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tsitsipas S.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tsitsipas S.

Serve advantage — Tsitsipas S.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tsitsipas S.Baez S.
57
Serve
5
39
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
72%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
77%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
52%
Service points won·Slight edge
68%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
35%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
7.1
2.0
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.7
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
90
87
Break points saved·Even
100
96
Break points won·Slight edge
77
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
98
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+94 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1709
6.4Overall Elo 1833
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.6
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
8.0
Minutes 14d
2.3
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
96

Tsitsipas S.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
21°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 68%
R128
Millman J.
Lopez F.
6-16-34-67-5
Johnson S.
Thompson J.
7-656-764-66-36-3
Kecmanovic M.
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6-46-26-1
Vukic A.
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Gombos N.
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Gasquet R.
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Opelka R.[23]
Anderson K.
6-36-47-63
Martinez P.
Delbonis F.
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Majchrzak K.
Seppi A.
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Paul T.
Kukushkin M.
6-36-46-2
Otte O.
Tseng C.
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Sonego L.[25]
Querrey S.
7-56-36-3
Monfils G.[17]
Coria F.
6-16-16-3
Bublik A.
Escobedo E.
3-67-656-36-3
Garin C.[16]
Bagnis F.
6-36-45-76-746-3
Korda S.
Norrie C.[12]
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Moutet C.
Pouille L.
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Griekspoor T.
Fognini F.
6-16-46-4
Carreno Busta P.[19]
Etcheverry T.
6-16-27-62
Alcaraz C.[31]
Tabilo A.
6-26-26-3
Lajovic D.
Fucsovics M.
6-34-66-16-766-1
Kozlov S.
Vesely J.
7-56-36-4
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Nakashima B.
4-66-27-656-3
Zverev A.[3]
Altmaier D.
7-636-17-61
Albot R.
Nishioka Y.
6-36-44-66-2
Koepfer D.
Taberner C.
6-13-66-46-1
Kwon S.
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Shapovalov D.[14]
Djere L.
7-636-43-67-63
Hurkacz H.[10]
Gerasimov E.
6-27-636-756-3
Mannarino A.
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Milojevic N.
5-76-46-36-2
Karatsev A.[18]
Munar J.
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Khachanov K.[28]
Kudla D.
3-66-36-27-62
Bonzi B.
Gojowczyk P.
6-36-36-3
Hanfmann Y.
Kokkinakis T.
6-26-36-2
Nadal R.[6]
Giron M.
6-16-46-2
Molcan A.
Safiullin R.
6-37-695-77-66
Andujar P.
Dzumhur D.
6-17-56-1
De Minaur A.[32]
Musetti L.
3-66-36-06-3
Murray A.
Basilashvili N.[21]
6-13-66-46-756-4
Daniel T.
Barrios Vera T.
7-656-16-1
Sinner J.[11]
Sousa J.
6-47-56-1
Bautista Agut R.[15]
Travaglia S.
7-626-45-76-1
Kohlschreiber P.
Cecchinato M.
6-47-57-60
Tiafoe F.
Trungelliti M.
3-66-46-23-66-3
Fritz T.[20]
Marterer M.
7-686-36-2
Dimitrov G.[26]
Lehecka J.
6-44-66-37-5
Paire B.
Monteiro T.
6-43-67-52-67-5
Baez S.
Ramos A.
6-44-66-31-66-2
Tsitsipas S.[4]
Ymer M.
6-26-46-3
Rublev A.[5]
Mager G.
6-36-26-2
Berankis R.
Carballes Baena R.
6-13-62-66-36-4
Cilic M.[27]
Gomez E.
6-36-16-2
Evans D.[24]
Goffin D.
6-46-36-0
Rinderknech A.
Popyrin A.
7-54-66-23-66-3
Davidovich Fokina A.
Bolt A.
6-36-36-4
Auger Aliassime F.[9]
Ruusuvuori E.
6-40-63-66-36-4
Schwartzman D.[13]
Krajinovic F.
6-36-47-5
Machac T.
Cerundolo J.
6-32-66-46-2
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-46-36-2
Kyrgios N.
Broady L.
6-46-46-3
Medvedev D.[2]
Laaksonen H.
6-16-47-63
Oconnell C.
Gaston H.
7-646-04-66-1
Cressy M.
Isner J.[22]
7-627-56-746-746-4