Carlos Alcaraz vs Jan Lennard StruffMadrid Masters Final

Madrid Masters · ATP · Final
#2ATP
2162ELO
2102Clay ELO
$4.4MYTD
$65MCAREER
23 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 24 April 2023
clay
#74ATP
1694ELO
1659Clay ELO
$492kYTD
$13MCAREER
36 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
Alcaraz C.
6-4 3-6 6-3
Struff J.
Alcaraz C.
6362
Struff J.
4631

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Jan Lennard Struff 6-4 3-6 6-3 in the Madrid Masters final on clay. The result followed the form book — Carlos Alcaraz came in ranked #2, leading the head-to-head 3–1, defending the title. Carlos Alcaraz extended the head-to-head to 4–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Carlos Alcaraz closed it out in three sets, 6–4 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

31
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-06-30WimbledonR32grassCarlos Alcaraz6-1 3-6 6-3 6-4
2024-04-22Madrid MastersR16clayCarlos Alcaraz6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4)
2022-06-27WimbledonR128grassCarlos Alcaraz4-6 7-5 4-6 7-6(3) 6-4
2021-05-31Roland GarrosR32clayJan Lennard Struff6-4 7-6(3) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Alcaraz C.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Struff J.

Struff J.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Alcaraz C.

Serve advantage — Alcaraz C.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
76%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Service points won·Even
68%
65%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
37%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
8.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 190). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
98
61
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
21
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
68
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
100
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
9.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
10.0+442 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
0.0Clay Elo 1659
10.0Overall Elo 2162
ELO gap
0.0Overall Elo 1694
0.0
H2H
10.0
9.4
Surface form
6.0
9.06-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.4
Minutes 14d
2.4
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
9.1
Country comfort
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
59

Struff J.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 87 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 4 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Alcaraz C.[1]
Struff J.
6-43-66-3